Introduction
The Copenhagen Accord is the manifestation of domestic, political and economic realities in Washington and Beijing. It disappointed many observers of the negotiations, having failed to deliver little more than a statement of intent and no specific emission reduction targets. The implications for the energy utilities industry and for investment in clean technology are nevertheless significant.
Scope
*An overview of the Copenhagen Accord, its comparative successes and the key structural challenges it fails to address.
*A review of the latest US climate bill, US support schemes for renewable energy and efficiency and the outlook for US RGGI & CCX carbon markets.
*Projections of EU carbon prices and the possibility of uncertainty over post-2012 CER trading rules leading to a two tier carbon offset market.
*Reasons why trends towards renewable energies and energy efficiency will remain unbroken in 2010 and our 'top 10' clean energy predictions for 2010.
Highlights
In Europe, the Copenhagen talks will have knock on effects on carbon markets and levels on investment, mainly in the near-term. The absence of any language on CDM reform and the lack of specificity concerning carbon finance mechanisms are causing jitters in the offset market and are undermining demand for post-2012 CERs and new project development.
Copenhagen gave the energy cleantech community the sense, if not the tools, that private investment will drive the transition to a low carbon economy. Levels of low-carbon investment and deployment will grow in 2010. Alternatives to cap and trade will emerge in the form of sub-national mandates and incentives for 'clean' energy.
Life will not be breathed into the Copenhagen Accord at COP16: Mexico City will deliver more stalemate. Progress on new global and US climate regimes will be slow and unconvincing. The 'global' carbon market will fail to materialize in 2010, as will outright carbon border taxes and an EU-wide carbon tax.
Reasons to Purchase
*Profit from first expert analytical insight into the outcome of the world's most significant climate change talks.
*Re-assess your company's strategy based on your new understanding of how Copenhagen will affect the world's carbon and energy cleantech markets.
*Review how and where your company interacts with low-carbon or renewable energy markets, based on longer-term trends and developments.
Report HighlightsIn Europe, the Copenhagen talks will have knock on effects on carbon markets and levels on investment, mainly in the near-term. The absence of any language on CDM reform and the lack of specificity concerning carbon finance mechanisms are causing jitters in the offset market and are undermining demand for post-2012 CERs and new project development.Copenhagen gave the energy cleantech community the sense, if not the tools, that private investment will drive the transition to a low carbon economy. Levels of low-carbon investment and deployment will grow in 2010. Alternatives to cap and trade will emerge in the form of sub-national mandates and incentives for 'clean' energy.Life will not be breathed into the Copenhagen Accord at COP16: Mexico City will deliver more stalemate. Progress on new global and US climate regimes will be slow and unconvincing. The 'global' carbon market will fail to materialize in 2010, as will outright carbon border taxes and an EU-wide carbon tax.
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