China's Vegoils & Oilseeds Market Analysis and Forecast Report (2010-2011)

In 2010, China’s vegetable oil industry mainly showed the following characteristics and changes:
(1) The Government policies continued to make a great impact on the market.
The Government encouraged and subsidized oilseed production. The policies of soybean, rapeseed purchasing and vegoil storage selling continued to be implemented in order to stabilize the market. Rapeseed and soyoil imports were restricted.
(2) Domestic oilseed production reduced, and the dependence on foreign vegetable oil increased.
The production of rapeseed and cottonseed dropped, but the output of soybean, peanut and sunflower remained almost same with the previous year. Most of rapeseed production was purchased by the State Reserve, and domestic oilseed supply reduced. Soybean and rapoil imports increased significantly, resulting in the dependence on foreign vegetable oil up to 70%.
(3) Soybean crush increased substantially, the supply and demand kept balance.
Domestic oilseed supply was tight, but soybean imports and crush substantially increased, vegoil production and consumption continuously grew, the supply and demand almost kept balance.
(4) Oilseed crushing margins were better in the second half of the year, while the capacity of vegoils kept on increasing.
Soybean crush margins suffered losses in the first half of 2010, but made profits in the second half. Rapeseed crushing margins were fairly good. New projects of soyoil, rapoil and palm oil continued to appear, and those of other vegoils such as peanut oil, corn oil and camellia oil, increased significantly.
(5) Vegetable oil prices rose largely since Mid-July.
In 2011, the government policies on purchasing, storage and import, will continue to have critical impact on the vegoil market. Main development trends are expected as follows: the supply of domestic oilseed supply rallies; the total oil and oilseed imports continue to increase; the vegoil market is balance between supply and demand, and the inventory increases; the vegoil producing capacity continues to expand, with optimization of product structure; the prices of oils and oilseeds fall at first and pick up again in the second half of 2011, higher than the average of 2010.

This annual report shows a reliable reference to meet diverse needs, with systematic, brief and accurate data from 1979 to 2011. It analyzed the changes in 2010 and forecasted 2011 in order of the industrial chain, rich in content and succinct in style.
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Part One: Analysis of 2010 Vegoil Industry Policies and Changes

1.1 Oilseeds Production Policies
1.1.1 Central Document No.1 Advocated "Vigorously Developing the Oilseed Production"
1.1.2 Government Work Report: Expanding Planting Acreage of Oilseeds, Increasing Agricultural Subsidies
1.1.3 Characteristics and Effects of 2010 Subsidy Policy for Growing Superior Peanut
1.2 National Purchase and Reserve Policy
1.2.1 Major Adjustments of Rapeseed Purchase and Reserve Policies
1.2.2 Major Adjustments of Soybean Purchase and Reserve Policies
1.2.3 Policy of Purchasing Sunflower at Protective Price Continuously Implemented in Xinjiang
1.2.4 Auction of 2010 National Reserve Vegoils
1.2.5 Auction of 2010 National Reserve Soybean
1.2.6 Entrusted Purchase and Reserves Qualification of State Grain/Vegoil and Qualified Enterprise List
1.2.7 Government Pilot Work of Edible Oil Storage Examination
1.3 Other Policies and Plans
1.3.1 China Restricts Soybean Oil Imports from Argentina
1.3.2 Analysis of "Oils & Oilseeds Industry Plan, 2009-2020"
1.3.3 Significant Adjustments on Foreign Investment Policies
1.3.4 Key Enterprises to Be Integrated Into National Macroeconomic Control System of Agricultural Products
1.3.5 Grain Trade Business of China’s Grain Reserves Corporation Suspended
1.3.6 Heilongjiang Government Encourages Integration of Soybean Processing Industry
1.3.7 Strict Regulation on "Hogwash Oil"
1.4 Industry Standards
1.4.1 National Rapeseed Oil Standards (Gb 1536-2004) to Be Adjusted
1.4.2 Biodiesel Fuel Blend (B5) (Gb 15680-2010)

Part Two: Analysis and Forecast of China’s Soybean Market

2.1 2010 Soybean Production
2.1.1 Soybean Production Reached 15 Million Tons,With High Yield and Good Quality
2.1.2 Soybean Cultivation Benefit Improved
2.2 2010 Soybean and Soybean Oil Imports
2.2.1 Soybean Imports Exceeded 50 Million Tons, Imports from Argentina Increased
2.2.2 Sharp Decline in Soybean Oil Imports, Increase in Imports from Brazil
2.3 Analysis of 2010 Soybean Crushing Industry
2.3.1 Soybean Crush Reached 60 Million Tons
2.3.2 Soybean Crushers Distribution
2.3.3 Soybean Crushing Capacity Continues to Increase
2.3.4 New Developments of Main Processing Enterprises
2.4 2010 Soybean Crushing Margins Changes
2.4.1 Soybean Prices Trend Like a Wide "V"
2.4.2 Soybean Oil Prices Increased Sharply in the Fourth Quarter
2.4.3 Soybean Meal Prices Trend Like a Wide "V"
2.4.4 Soybean Crush Suffered Losses in the First Half of 2010, Made Profits in the Second Half
2.5 2011 Soybean Market Supply-Demand and Forecast
2.5.1 Soybean Acreage in 2011 Is Expected to Increase
2.5.2 Soybeans and Soybean Oil Imports in 2011 Will Keep Growing
2.5.3 Soybean Crushing Capacity Will Continue to Increase in 2011
2.5.4 Analysis and Forecast of Soybean and Soybean Oil Demand and Supply in 2011
2.5.5 The Prices of Soybean and Its Products in 2011 Will Drop Firstly Then Ascend
2.5.6 Soybean Crushing Margin in 2011 Will Be an Overall Rise

Part Three: Analysis and Forecast of China’s Rapeseed Market

3.1 2010 Rapeseed Production
3.1.1 Rapeseed Production Decreased Due to Serious Disaster in the Southwest
3.1.2 The Benefit of Rapeseed Cultivation Improved
3.2 2010 Rapeseed and Rapeseed Oil Imports
3.2.1 Rapeseed Imports Decreased to 1.5 Million Tons Due to Policy Restriction
3.2.2 Rapeseed Oil Imports Increased Significantly, Reaching 0.8 Million Tons
3.3 Analysis of 2010 Rapeseed Crushing Industry
3.3.1 Rapeseed Crush Reached 14 Million Tons
3.3.2 Port Areas Became Important Rapeseed Processing Areas
3.3.3 Rapeseed Crushing Capacity Substantial Increased
3.3.4 New Developments of Main Processing Enterprises
3.4 2010 Rapeseed Crushing Margins
3.4.1 Rapeseed Prices Went Higher Upon 3,900 Yuan/Ton
3.4.2 Rapeseed Oil Prices Continued to Rise in the Second Half
3.4.3 Meal Price Mainly Maintained at 2,200-2,400 Yuan/Ton
3.4.4 Rapeseed Crushing Margins Generally Good
3.5 2011 Rapeseed Market Supply-Demand and Forecast
3.5.1 2011 Rapeseed Acreage and Production both to Increase
3.5.2 2011 Rapeseed Oil Imports to Kept High Level
3.5.3 2011 Rapeseed Crushing Capacity to Continually Increase
3.5.4 Analysis and Forecast of 2011 Rapeseed and Rapeseed Oil Demand-Supply
3.5.5 Prices of 2011 Rapeseed and Its Products both to Keep at High Level
3.5.6 2011 Rapeseed Crushing Margins to Maintain Good

Part Four: Analysis and Forecast of China’s Peanut Market

4.1 2010 Peanut Production
4.1.1 Peanut Production Equal to Last Year, Lower in Yield and Quality
4.1.2 Peanut Cultivation Benefit Improved
4.2 2010 Peanut and Peanut Oil Trade
4.2.1 Peanut Exports Dropped Significantly
4.2.2 Peanut Oil Imports Increased Largely
4.3 Analysis of 2010 Peanut Crushing Industry
4.3.1 Peanut Crush Declined
4.3.2 Peanut Crushing Capacity Continue to Increase
4.3.3 New Developments of Main Processing Enterprises
4.4 2010 Peanut Crushing Margins
4.4.1 Peanut Prices Trend Like Wide "V", Kept Rising From August
4.4.2 Peanut Oil Prices Went Higher Upon 14,500 Yuan/Ton
4.4.3 Peanut Meal Prices Maintained at 2,900-3,200 Yuan/Ton, Dropped Firstly, Then Ascend
4.4.4 Peanut Crush Was Mostly at a Loss
4.5 2011 Peanut Market Supply-Demand and Forecast
4.5.1 2011 Peanut Production to Increase
4.5.2 2011 Peanut Oil Imports to Keep Growing
4.5.3 2011 Peanut Crushing Capacity to Continuously Rise
4.5.4 Analysis and Forecast of 2011 Peanut and Peanut Oil Demand-Supply
4.5.5 Prices of 2011 Peanut and Its Products to Keep High Level
4.5.6 2011 Peanut Crushing Margins to Move up

Part Five: Analysis and Forecast of China’s Palm Oil Market

5.1 2010 Palm Oil Imports
5.1.1 Palm Oil Imports Sharply Decreased to Below 6 Million Tons
5.1.2 RBD Palm Oil as the Main Imported Variety
5.1.3 Palm Oil Imports Mainly From Malaysia and Indonesia
5.2 Analysis of 2010 Palm Oil Processing Industry
5.2.1 Palm Oil Production Reached 6 Million Tons
5.2.2 Palm Oil Processing Concentrated in Jiangsu, Guangdong and Tianjin
5.2.3 Palm Processing Capacity Continued to Increase
5.2.4 New Developments of Main Processing Enterprises
5.3 Changes of 2010 Palm Oil Price
5.3.1 Palm Oil Import Prices (CIF) Kept Rising
5.3.2 Palm Oil Port Prices Held Steady During the First Half of 2010, Went Higher in the Second Half
5.4 2011 Palm Oil Supply-Demand and Market Forecast
5.4.1 2010 Palm Oil Stocks Fell to Low Level
5.4.2 2011 Palm Oil Imports to Pick up
5.4.3 Overall Trend of 2011 Palm Oil Prices to Fall First and Then Rise

Part Six: Analysis and Forecast of Other Oilseeds Market (Including Cottonseed, Sunflower, Sesame, Camellia)

6.1 Analysis and Forecast of China’s Cottonseed Market
6.1.1 Cottonseed Supply Sharply Declined
6.1.2 Cottonseed Crushing Capacity Increased
6.1.3 Cottonseed, Cottonseed Oil Prices Remained Strong
6.1.4 2011 Cottonseed and Cotton Oil Market to Keep Tight Balance Between Supply and Demand
6.2 Analysis and Forecast of China’s Sunflower Market
6.2.1 Sunflower Production Equaled to the Last Year, But Oil Sunflower Production Fell
6.2.2 Sunflower Oil Imports Increased
6.2.3 Prices of Oil Sunflower and Sunflower Oil both to Rise
6.2.4 2011 Sunflower Oil Imports to Move up
6.3 Analysis and Forecast of China’s Sesame Market
6.3.1 2010 Sesame Production Stagnated, Down 9.5% Over Last Year
6.3.2 Sesame Imports Increased, Sesame Oil Production Rose
6.3.3 Sesame Enterprises Began to Pay More Attention to Expanding Domestic Market
6.3.4 2011 Sesame and Sesame Oil Market to Maintain Balance Between Supply and Demand
6.4 Analysis and Forecast of China’s Camellia Market
6.4.1 Camellia Acreage Expanded, Camellia Oil Production Increased
6.4.2 More Projects Constructed, Processing Capacity Moved up
6.4.3 Camellia Oil Industry Suffered Benzopyrene Crisis
6.4.4 2011 Camellia Oil Production to Keep Increasing

Part Seven: Analysis and Forecast of China’s Vegoil Supply-Demand

7.1 Total Supply of Vegoil in China
7.1.1 Domestic Oilseed Production Calculated as Oil Declined to 9 Million Tons
7.1.2 Total Vegoil Imports Continued to Increase, Dependence on Import Rose up to 70%.
7.1.3 Total National Vegoils and Meals Supply, and Supply Structure
7.1.4 Vegoil Processing Capacity Expanded
7.2 China’s Vegoil Consumption and Inventory
7.2.1 Total National Vegoil Consumption and Consumption Structure
7.2.2 Total National Vegoil Inventory Reached More 5 Million Tons
7.3 Forecast of 2011 China’s Vegoil Supply and Demand
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Table 1-1, Auction Statistics of 2010 National Reserve Vegoils
Table 1-2, Auction Statistics of 2010 National Reserve Soybean
Table 1-3, Qualified Enterprise List of Entrusted Purchase and Reserves of State Grain/Vegoils
Table 1-4, Qualified Enterprise List of Entrusted Purchase and Reserve of Rapeseed
Table 1-5, Comparison of National Soybean Standards in GB1352-2010 and GB1352-1986
Table 2-1, Soybean Planting Acreage by Region, 2009-2010
Table 2-2, Soybean Yield by Region, 2009-2010
Table 2-3, Soybean Production by Region, 2009-2010
Table 2-4, Costs and Benefits of Soybean Production, 2009-2010
Table 2-5, 2010 New Soybean Crushing Projects
Table 2-6, Main Soybean Crushers and their Crushing Capacities, 2009-2010
Table 2-7, China’s Soybean Demand and Supply, 2005/06 ~ 2010/11
Table 3-1, Rapeseed Planting Acreage by Region, 2009-2010
Table 3-2, Rapeseed Yield by Region, 2009-2010
Table 3-3, Rapeseed Production by Region, 2009-2010
Table 3-4, Costs and Benefits of Rapeseed Production, 2009-2010
Table 3-5, Main Rapeseed Crushers and their Crushing Capacities, 2010
Table 3-6, 2010 New Rapeseed Crushing Projects
Table 3-7, China’s Rapeseed Demand and Supply, 2005/06 ~ 2010/11
Table 4-1, Peanut Planting Acreage by Region, 2009-2010
Table 4-2, Peanut Yield by Region, 2009-2010
Table 4-3, Peanut Production by Region, 2009-2010
Table 4-4, Costs and Benefits of Peanut Production, 2009-2010
Table 4-5, Main Peanut Crushers and their Crushing Capacities, 2009-2010
Table 4-6, 2010 New Peanut Crushing Projects
Table 4-7, China’s Peanut Demand and Supply, 2005/06 ~ 2010/11
Table 5-1, Main Palm oil Enterprises and their Processing Capacities, 2009-2010
Table 5-2, 2010 New Palm Oil Crushing Projects
Table 5-3, China’s Palm Oil Demand and Supply, 2005/06 ~ 2010/11
Table 6-1, Cottonseed Planting Acreage by Region, 2009-2010
Table 6-2, Cottonseed Yield by Region, 2009-2010
Table 6-3, Cottonseed Production by Region, 2009-2010
Table 6-4, 2010 New Cottonseed Crushing Projects
Table 6-5, Sunflower Seed Planting Acreage by Region, 2009-2010
Table 6-6, Sunflower Seed Yield by Region, 2009-2010
Table 6-7, Sunflower Seed Production by Region, 2009-2010
Table 6-8, 2010 New Sunflower Crushing Projects
Table 6-9, Sesame Acreage, Yield & Production by Region, 2009-2010
Table 6-10, 2010 New Sesame Crushing Projects
Table 6-11, Camellia Acreage, Yield & Production by Region, 2009-2010
Table 6-12, 2010 New Camellia Crushing Projects
Table 7-1, Domestic Oilseeds Output Converted into Oils by Region, 2009-2010
Table 7-2, China’s Vegoil Production Distribution
Table 7-3, Imported Structure of 2010 China’s Oils & Oilseeds
Table 7-4, China’s Vegeoil Demand and Supply, 2005/06 ~ 2010/11
Table 7-5, Globle Vegeoil Supply and Demand, 2005/06~2010/11

Map 1, China’s Vegoil Enterprises Distribution and Capacity
Map 2, Main Large-Scale Vegoil Enterprises by Variety
Map 3, 2010 New Vegoil Enterprises by Variety

Figure 2-1, Soybean Planting Acreage by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 2-2, Soybean Yield by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 2-3, Soybean Production by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 2-4, Soybean Production Benefits by Year, 2000-2010
Figure 2-5, China’s Soybean Import Volume by Year, 1997-2010
Figure 2-6, China’s Soybean Import Volume by Month, 2007-2010
Figure 2-7, China’s Soybean Import Price(CIF)by Month, 2007-2010
Figure 2-8, China’s Soybean Imports by Original Country, 2007-2010
Figure 2-9, China’s Soybean Imports by Region , 2007-2010
Figure 2-10, China’s Soybean Oil Import Volume by Month, 2007-2010
Figure 2-11, China’s Soybean Oil Import Price(CIF)by Month, 2007-2010
Figure 2-12, China’s Soybean Oil Imports by Original Country, 2007-2010
Figure 2-13, China’s Soybean Oil Imports by Region, 2007-2010
Figure 2-14, China’s Total Soybean Oil Imports (Including Soybean Calculated as Oil) by Year, 1997-2010
Figure 2-15, Average Price Changes of Port Soybean and Domestic Soybean, 2007-2010
Figure 2-16, Average Price Changes of Soybean from U.S.Gulf and Brazil, 2007-2010
Figure 2-17, Average Price Changes of Soy Oil in Major Production and Purchasing Areas, 2007-2010
Figure 2-18, Average Price Changes of Soy Meal in Major Production and Purchasing Areas, 2007-2010
Figure 2-19, Average Crushing Margins of Domestic and Imported Soybeans, 2009-2010
Figure 3-1, Rapeseed Planting Acreage by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 3-2, Rapeseed Yield by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 3-3, Rapeseed Production by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 3-4, Rapeseed Production Benefits by Year, 2000-2010
Figure 3-5, China’s Rapeseed Import Volume by Year, 1998-2010
Figure 3-6, China’s Rapeseed Import Volume by Month, 2007-2010
Figure 3-7, China’s Rapeseed Import Price (CIF) by Month, 2007-2010
Figure 3-8, China’s Rapeseed Import Volume by Original Country, 2007-2010
Figure 3-9, China’s Rapeseed Import Volume by Region, 2007-2010
Figure 3-10, China’s Rapeseed Oil Import Volume by Month, 2007-2010
Figure 3-11, China’s Rapeseed Oil Import Price (CIF) by Month, 2007-2010
Figure 3-12, China’s Rapeseed Oil Import Volume by Region, 2007-2010
Figure 3-13, China’s Total Rapeseed Oil Imports (including Rapeseed Calculated as Oil) by Year, 1998-2010
Figure 3-14, Average Price Changes of Rapeseed, 2009-2010
Figure 3-15, Average Price Changes of Rapeseed Oil, 2009-2010
Figure 3-16, Average Price Changes of Rapeseed Meal, 2009-2010
Figure 3-17, Average Crushing Margin Changes of Rapeseed, 2009-2010
Figure 4-1, Peanut Planting Acreage by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 4-2, Peanut Yield by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 4-3, Peanut Production by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 4-4, Peanut Production Benefits by Year, 2000-2010
Figure 4-5, China’s Peanut Kernel Export Volume by Month, 2007-2010
Figure 4-6, China’s Peanut Kernel Export Price (FOB) by Month, 2007-2010
Figure 4-7, China’s Peanut Kernel Export Volume by Year, 2000-2010
Figure 4-8, China’s Peanut Oil Export Volume by Year, 2000-2010
Figure 4-9, China’s Peanut Oil Export Volume by Month, 2007-2010
Figure 4-10, China’s Peanut Oil Export Price (FOB)by Month, 2007-2010
Figure 4-11, Average Price Changes of 2010 Peanut Kernel
Figure 4-12, Average Price Changes of 2010 Peanut Oil
Figure 4-13, Average Price Changes of2010 Peanut Meal
Figure 4-14, Average Crushing Margin Changes of Peanut, 2009-2010
Figure 5-1, China’s Palm Oil Import Volume by Year, 1997-2010
Figure 5-2, China’s Palm Oil Import Volume by Month, 2007-2010
Figure 5-3, China’s Palm Oil Import Price (CIF) by Month, 2007-2010
Figure 5-4, China’s Palm Oil Import Volume by Original Country, 2007-2010
Figure 5-5, China’s Palm Oil Import Volume by Region, 2007-2010
Figure 5-6, Average Price of RBD Palm Oil in China’s Ports and Major Producing Countries, 2009-2010
Figure 6-1, Cottonseed Planting Acreage by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 6-2, Cottonseed Yield by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 6-3, Cottonseed Production by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 6-4, Average Price Changes of Cottonseed, 2009-2010
Figure 6-5, Average Price Changes of Cotton Oil, 2009-2010
Figure 6-6, Sunflower Seed Planting Acreage by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 6-7, Sunflower Seed Yield by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 6-8, Sunflower Seed Production by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 6-9, Sesame Acreage by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 6-10, Sesame Yield by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 6-11, Sesame Production by Year, 1979-2010
Figure 6-12, Camellia Oil Production by Year, 1995-2010
Figure 7-1, Production of Domestic Oilseed Calculated as Oil, 1979-2010
Figure 7-2, China’s Vegoil Imports (including Oilseed Calculated as Oil) by Year, 1997-2010
Figure 7-3, China’s Vegoil Imports (including oilseeds Calculated as Oil) by region, 2009-2010
Figure 7-4, Refined VegeOil Production by Month, 2009-2010
Figure 7-5, China’s VegeOil Production by Year, 1997-2010
Figure 7-6, Average Prices Changes of China’s Main Vegeoils, 2009-2010
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