Ice Cream in India to 2013

TABLE OF CONTENTS
Chapter 1 Executive Summary 2
Summary market level: ice cream 2
Summary category level: impulse ice cream 3
Summary category level: artisanal ice cream 4
Summary category level: take-home ice cream 5
Chapter 2 Introduction 6
What is this report about? 6
How to use this report 6
Market definition 7
Chapter 3 Market Overview 20
Value analysis (Indian Rupee), 2003?08 20
Value analysis (Indian Rupee), 2008?13 21
Value analysis (US dollars), 2003?08 23
Value analysis (US dollars), 2008?13 24
Volume analysis, 2003?08 26
Volume analysis, 2008?13 27
Company and brand share analysis 29
Distribution analysis 33
Expenditure and consumption per capita 35
Chapter 4 Leading Company Profiles 39
Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Federation Ltd 39
Unilever 41
Chapter 5 Category Analysis: Impulse Ice Cream 44
Value analysis (Indian Rupee), 2003?08 44
Value analysis (Indian Rupee), 2008?13 45
Value analysis (US dollars), 2003?08 47
Value analysis (US dollars), 2008?13 47
Volume analysis, 2003?08 49
Volume analysis, 2008?13 50
Company and brand share analysis 52
Distribution analysis 55
Expenditure and consumption per capita 57
Chapter 6 Category Analysis: Artisanal Ice Cream 60
Value analysis (Indian Rupee), 2003?08 60
Value analysis (Indian Rupee), 2008?13 61
Value analysis (US dollars), 2003?08 62
Value analysis (US dollars), 2008?13 62
Volume analysis, 2003?08 63
Volume analysis, 2008?13 64
Company and brand share analysis 65
Distribution analysis 67
Expenditure and consumption per capita 68
Chapter 7 Category Analysis: Take-Home Ice Cream 71
Value analysis (Indian Rupee), 2003?08 71
Value analysis (Indian Rupee), 2008?13 72
Value analysis (US dollars), 2003?08 73
Value analysis (US dollars), 2008?13 73
Volume analysis, 2003?08 75
Volume analysis, 2008?13 76
Company and brand share analysis 78
Distribution analysis 81
Expenditure and consumption per capita 83
Chapter 8 Country Comparison 86
Value 86
Volume 90
Market share 94
Chapter 9 PESTLE Analysis 95
Summary 95
Political analysis 96
Economic analysis 101
Social analysis 111
Technological analysis 118
Legal analysis 125
Environmental analysis 132
Chapter 10 New Product Development 137
Product launches over time 137
Recent product launches 139
Chapter 11 Macroeconomic Profile 140
Macroeconomic indicators 140
Chapter 12 Research Methodology 145
Methodology overview 145
Secondary research 146
Market modeling 147
Creating an initial data model 147
Revising the initial data model 147
Creating a final estimate 148
Creating demographic value splits 148
Primary research 148
Data finalization 149
Ongoing research 149
Chapter 13 APPENDIX 150
Future readings 150
How to contact experts in your industry 150
Disclaimer 150

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Ice cream, India, value by category (INRm), 2003?13 22
Figure 2: Ice cream, India, category growth comparison, by value, 2003?13 25
Figure 3: Ice cream, India, volume by category (liters, million), 2003?13 28
Figure 4: Ice cream, India, category growth comparison, by volume, 2003?13 28
Figure 5: Ice cream, India, company share by value (%), 2007?08 31
Figure 6: Ice cream, India, distribution channels by value (%), 2007?08 34
Figure 7: Impulse ice cream, India, value by segment (INRm), 2003?13 46
Figure 8: Impulse ice cream, India, category growth comparison, by value, 2003?13 48
Figure 9: Impulse ice cream, India, volume by segment (liters, million), 2003?13 50
Figure 10: Impulse ice cream, India, category growth comparison, by volume, 2003?13 51
Figure 11: Impulse ice cream, India, company share by value (%), 2007?08 53
Figure 12: Impulse ice cream, India, distribution channels by value (%), 2007?08 56
Figure 13: Artisanal ice cream, India, value (INRm), 2003?13 61
Figure 14: Artisanal ice cream, India, volume (liters, million), 2003?13 64
Figure 15: Take-home ice cream, India, value by segment (INRm), 2003?13 72
Figure 16: Take-home ice cream, India, category growth comparison, by value, 2003?13 74
Figure 17: Take-home ice cream, India, volume by segment (liters, million), 2003?13 77
Figure 18: Take-home ice cream, India, category growth comparison, by volume, 2003?13 77
Figure 19: Take-home ice cream, India, company share by value (%), 2007?08 79
Figure 20: Take-home ice cream, India, distribution channels by value (%), 2007?08 82
Figure 21: Global ice cream market split (value terms, 2008), top five countries 87
Figure 22: Global ice cream market value, 2003–08, top five countries 89
Figure 23: Global ice cream market split (volume terms, 2008), top five countries 91
Figure 24: Global ice cream market volume, 2003–08, top five countries 93
Figure 25: Conflicts of high intensity (2007) 98
Figure 26: GDP growth fluctuates with the monsoons 103
Figure 27: Infrastructure investment commitments – India (2005–08) 105
Figure 28: Distribution of household income – 2005–25 106
Figure 29: Sex-ratio in India – 1990–2009 112
Figure 30: Annual additions to the stock of science and engineering graduates 119
Figure 31: Patent applications filed and patents granted in India (2002–06) 123
Figure 32: Patent applications filed and patents granted in other BRIC countries (2002–06) 124
Figure 33: Annual data review process 146

LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Ice cream category definitions 8
Table 2: Ice cream distribution channels 9
Table 3: Ice cream, India, value by category (INRm), 2003?08 20
Table 4: Ice cream, India, value forecast by category (INRm), 2008?13 21
Table 5: Ice cream, India, value by category ($m), 2003?08 23
Table 6: Ice cream, India, value forecast by category ($m), 2008?13 24
Table 7: Ice cream, India, volume by category (liters, million), 2003?08 26
Table 8: Ice cream, India, volume forecast by category (liters, million), 2008?13 27
Table 9: Ice cream, India, brand share by value (%), 2007?08 29
Table 10: Ice cream, India, value by brand (INRm), 2007?08 30
Table 11: Ice cream, India, company share by value (%), 2007?08 32
Table 12: Ice cream, India, value by company (INRm), 2007?08 32
Table 13: Ice cream, India, distribution channels by value (%), 2007?08 33
Table 14: Ice cream, India, value by distribution channel (INRm), 2007?08 33
Table 15: Ice cream, India, expenditure per capita (INR), 2003?08 35
Table 16: Ice cream, India, forecast expenditure per capita (INR), 2008?13 36
Table 17: Ice cream, India, expenditure per capita ($), 2003?08 36
Table 18: Ice cream, India, forecast expenditure per capita ($), 2008?13 37
Table 19: Ice cream, India, consumption per capita (liters), 2003?08 37
Table 20: Ice cream, India, forecast consumption per capita (liters), 2008?13 38
Table 21: Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Federation Ltd key facts 39
Table 22: Unilever key facts 41
Table 23: Impulse ice cream, India, value by segment (INRm), 2003?08 44
Table 24: Impulse ice cream, India, value forecast by segment (INRm), 2008?13 45
Table 25: Impulse ice cream, India, value by segment ($m), 2003?08 47
Table 26: Impulse ice cream, India, value forecast by segment ($m), 2008?13 47
Table 27: Impulse ice cream, India, volume by segment (liters, million), 2003?08 49
Table 28: Impulse ice cream, India, volume forecast by segment (liters, million), 2008?13 50
Table 29: Impulse ice cream, India, brand share by value (%), 2007?08 52
Table 30: Impulse ice cream, India, value by brand (INRm), 2007?08 52
Table 31: Impulse ice cream, India, company share by value (%), 2007?08 54
Table 32: Impulse ice cream, India, value by company (INRm), 2007?08 54
Table 33: Impulse ice cream, India, distribution channels by value (%), 2007?08 55
Table 34: Impulse ice cream, India, value by distribution channel (INRm), 2007?08 55
Table 35: Impulse ice cream, India, expenditure per capita (INR), 2003?08 57
Table 36: Impulse ice cream, India, forecast expenditure per capita (INR), 2008?13 57
Table 37: Impulse ice cream, India, expenditure per capita ($), 2003?08 58
Table 38: Impulse ice cream, India, forecast expenditure per capita ($), 2008?13 58
Table 39: Impulse ice cream, India, consumption per capita (liters), 2003?08 59
Table 40: Impulse ice cream, India, forecast consumption per capita (liters), 2008?13 59
Table 41: Artisanal ice cream, India, value (INRm), 2003?08 60
Table 42: Artisanal ice cream, India, value forecast (INRm), 2008?13 61
Table 43: Artisanal ice cream, India, value ($m), 2003?08 62
Table 44: Artisanal ice cream, India, value forecast ($m), 2008?13 62
Table 45: Artisanal ice cream, India, volume (liters, million), 2003?08 63
Table 46: Artisanal ice cream, India, volume forecast (liters, million), 2008?13 64
Table 47: Artisanal ice cream, India, brand share by value (%), 2007?08 65
Table 48: Artisanal ice cream, India, value by brand (INRm), 2007?08 65
Table 49: Artisanal ice cream, India, company share by value (%), 2007?08 66
Table 50: Artisanal ice cream, India, value by company (INRm), 2007?08 66
Table 51: Artisanal ice cream, India, distribution channels by value (%), 2007?08 67
Table 52: Artisanal ice cream, India, value by distribution channel (INRm), 2007?08 67
Table 53: Artisanal ice cream, India, expenditure per capita (INR), 2003?08 68
Table 54: Artisanal ice cream, India, forecast expenditure per capita (INR), 2008?13 68
Table 55: Artisanal ice cream, India, expenditure per capita ($), 2003?08 69
Table 56: Artisanal ice cream, India, forecast expenditure per capita ($), 2008?13 69
Table 57: Artisanal ice cream, India, consumption per capita (liters), 2003?08 70
Table 58: Artisanal ice cream, India, forecast consumption per capita (liters), 2008?13 70
Table 59: Take-home ice cream, India, value by segment (INRm), 2003?08 71
Table 60: Take-home ice cream, India, value forecast by segment (INRm), 2008?13 72
Table 61: Take-home ice cream, India, value by segment ($m), 2003?08 73
Table 62: Take-home ice cream, India, value forecast by segment ($m), 2008?13 73
Table 63: Take-home ice cream, India, volume by segment (liters, million), 2003?08 75
Table 64: Take-home ice cream, India, volume forecast by segment (liters, million), 2008?13 76
Table 65: Take-home ice cream, India, brand share by value (%), 2007?08 78
Table 66: Take-home ice cream, India, value by brand (INRm), 2007?08 78
Table 67: Take-home ice cream, India, company share by value (%), 2007?08 80
Table 68: Take-home ice cream, India, value by company (INRm), 2007?08 80
Table 69: Take-home ice cream, India, distribution channels by value (%), 2007?08 81
Table 70: Take-home ice cream, India, value by distribution channel (INRm), 2007?08 81
Table 71: Take-home ice cream, India, expenditure per capita (INR), 2003?08 83
Table 72: Take-home ice cream, India, forecast expenditure per capita (INR), 2008?13 83
Table 73: Take-home ice cream, India, expenditure per capita ($), 2003?08 84
Table 74: Take-home ice cream, India, forecast expenditure per capita ($), 2008?13 84
Table 75: Take-home ice cream, India, consumption per capita (liters), 2003?08 85
Table 76: Take-home ice cream, India, forecast consumption per capita (liters), 2008?13 85
Table 77: Global ice cream market value, 2008 86
Table 78: Global ice cream market split (value terms ($m), 2008), top five countries 89
Table 79: Global ice cream market volume, 2008 90
Table 80: Global ice cream market split (volume terms, 2008), top five countries 93
Table 81: Leading players, top five countries 94
Table 82: Analysis of the Indian political landscape 96
Table 83: Analysis of the Indian economy 101
Table 84: Global working age population (15–59 years) 102
Table 85: Untapped market potential in India across select consumer goods 107
Table 86: Investment performance of India’s lagging states 110
Table 87: Analysis of the Indian social system 111
Table 88: Mid-year population by age (millions) in 2006 113
Table 89: Life expectancy at birth in India, 2000–10 116
Table 90: Analysis of the Indian technological landscape 118
Table 91: Average annual salaries for researchers across countries 120
Table 92: R&D incentives provided by the Indian government 121
Table 93: Analysis of the Indian legal landscape 125
Table 94: Analysis of Indian environmental landscape 132
Table 95: India ice cream new product launches reports, by company, 2009 137
Table 96: India ice cream new product launches SKUs, by company, 2009 137
Table 97: India ice cream new product launches (reports), by flavor and fragrances, 2009 138
Table 98: India ice cream new product launches (reports), by ingredients (top 10 ingredients), 2009 138
Table 99: India ice cream new product launches (reports), by package tags or claims, 2009 139
Table 100: India ice cream new product launches - recent five launches (2009) 139
Table 101: India population, by age group, 2003?08 (millions) 140
Table 102: India population forecast, by age group, 2008?13 (millions) 141
Table 103: India population, by gender, 2003?08 (millions) 141
Table 104: India population forecast, by gender, 2008?13 (millions) 142
Table 105: India nominal GDP, 2003?08 (INRbn, nominal prices) 142
Table 106: India nominal GDP forecast, 2008?13 (INRbn, nominal prices) 142
Table 107: India real GDP, 2003?08 (INRbn, 2000 prices) 143
Table 108: India real GDP forecast, 2008?13 (INRbn, 2000 prices) 143
Table 109: India real GDP, 2003?08 ($bn, 2000 prices) 143
Table 110: India real GDP forecast, 2008?13 ($bn, 2000 prices) 144
Table 111: India consumer price index, 2003?08 (2000=100) 144
Table 112: India consumer price index, 2008?13 (2000=100) 144


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