Dairy Food in China to 2014

TABLE OF CONTENTS
Chapter 1 Executive Summary 2
Summary market level: dairy food 2
Summary category level: spreadable fats 3
Summary category level: soy products 4
Summary category level: cheese 5
Summary category level: chilled desserts 6
Summary category level: cream 7
Summary category level: milk 8
Summary category level: fromage frais 9
Summary category level: yogurt 10
Chapter 2 Introduction 11
What is this report about? 11
How to use this report 11
Market definition 12
Chapter 3 Market Overview 31
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2004?09 31
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2009?14 32
Value analysis (US dollars), 2004?09 34
Value analysis (US dollars), 2009?14 35
Volume analysis, 2004?09 36
Volume analysis, 2009?14 37
Company and brand share analysis 39
Distribution analysis 48
Expenditure and consumption per capita 50
Chapter 4 Category Analysis: Spreadable Fats 56
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2004?09 56
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2009?14 57
Value analysis (US dollars), 2004?09 59
Value analysis (US dollars), 2009?14 60
Volume analysis, 2004?09 62
Volume analysis, 2009?14 63
Company and brand share analysis 65
Distribution analysis 68
Expenditure and consumption per capita 70
Chapter 5 Category Analysis: Soy Products 73
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2004?09 73
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2009?14 74
Value analysis (US dollars), 2004?09 76
Value analysis (US dollars), 2009?14 76
Volume analysis, 2004?09 78
Volume analysis, 2009?14 79
Company and brand share analysis 81
Distribution analysis 84
Expenditure and consumption per capita 86
Chapter 6 Category Analysis: Cheese 89
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2004?09 89
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2009?14 90
Value analysis (US dollars), 2004?09 92
Value analysis (US dollars), 2009?14 92
Volume analysis, 2004?09 94
Volume analysis, 2009?14 95
Company and brand share analysis 97
Distribution analysis 101
Expenditure and consumption per capita 103
Chapter 7 Category Analysis: Chilled Desserts 106
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2004?09 106
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2009?14 107
Value analysis (US dollars), 2004?09 108
Value analysis (US dollars), 2009?14 109
Volume analysis, 2004?09 110
Volume analysis, 2009?14 111
Company and brand share analysis 112
Distribution analysis 114
Expenditure and consumption per capita 116
Chapter 8 Category Analysis: Cream 119
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2004?09 119
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2009?14 120
Value analysis (US dollars), 2004?09 121
Value analysis (US dollars), 2009?14 121
Volume analysis, 2004?09 122
Volume analysis, 2009?14 123
Company and brand share analysis 124
Distribution analysis 127
Expenditure and consumption per capita 129
Chapter 9 Category Analysis: Milk 132
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2004?09 132
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2009?14 133
Value analysis (US dollars), 2004?09 135
Value analysis (US dollars), 2009?14 136
Volume analysis, 2004?09 138
Volume analysis, 2009?14 139
Company and brand share analysis 141
Distribution analysis 146
Expenditure and consumption per capita 148
Chapter 10 Category Analysis: Fromage Frais 154
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2004?09 154
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2009?14 155
Value analysis (US dollars), 2004?09 156
Value analysis (US dollars), 2009?14 156
Volume analysis, 2004?09 157
Volume analysis, 2009?14 158
Company and brand share analysis 159
Distribution analysis 162
Expenditure and consumption per capita 164
Chapter 11 Category Analysis: Yogurt 167
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2004?09 167
Value analysis (Chinese Yuan Renminbi), 2009?14 168
Value analysis (US dollars), 2004?09 170
Value analysis (US dollars), 2009?14 170
Volume analysis, 2004?09 172
Volume analysis, 2009?14 173
Company and brand share analysis 175
Distribution analysis 178
Expenditure and consumption per capita 180
Chapter 12 Country Comparison 183
Value 183
Volume 187
Market share 191
Chapter 13 New Product Development 192
Product launches over time 192
Recent product launches 194
Chapter 14 Macroeconomic Profile 195
Macroeconomic Indicators 195
Chapter 15 Research Methodology 200
Methodology overview 200
Secondary research 201
Market modeling 202
Creating an initial data model 202
Revising the initial data model 202
Creating a final estimate 203
Creating demographic value splits 203
Primary research 203
Data finalization 204
Ongoing research 204
Chapter 16 Appendix 205
Future readings 205
How to contact experts in your industry 205
Disclaimer 205

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Dairy food, China, value by category (CNYm), 2004?14 33
Figure 2: Dairy food, China, volume by category (kg/liters, million), 2004?14 38
Figure 3: Dairy food, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 43
Figure 4: Dairy food, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 49
Figure 5: Spreadable fats, China, value by segment (CNYm), 2004?14 58
Figure 6: Spreadable fats, China, category growth comparison, by value, 2004?14 61
Figure 7: Spreadable fats, China, volume by segment (kg, million), 2004?14 64
Figure 8: Spreadable fats, China, category growth comparison, by volume, 2004?14 64
Figure 9: Spreadable fats, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 66
Figure 10: Spreadable fats, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 69
Figure 11: Soy products, China, value by segment (CNYm), 2004?14 75
Figure 12: Soy products, China, category growth comparison, by value, 2004?14 77
Figure 13: Soy products, China, volume by segment (kg/liters, million), 2004?14 80
Figure 14: Soy products, China, category growth comparison, by volume, 2004?14 80
Figure 15: Soy products, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 82
Figure 16: Soy products, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 85
Figure 17: Cheese, China, value by segment (CNYm), 2004?14 91
Figure 18: Cheese, China, category growth comparison, by value, 2004?14 93
Figure 19: Cheese, China, volume by segment (kg, million), 2004?14 96
Figure 20: Cheese, China, category growth comparison, by volume, 2004?14 96
Figure 21: Cheese, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 99
Figure 22: Cheese, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 102
Figure 23: Chilled desserts, China, value (CNYm), 2004?14 107
Figure 24: Chilled desserts, China, volume (kg, million), 2004?14 111
Figure 25: Chilled desserts, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 115
Figure 26: Cream, China, value (CNYm), 2004?14 120
Figure 27: Cream, China, volume (liters, million), 2004?14 123
Figure 28: Cream, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 125
Figure 29: Cream, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 128
Figure 30: Milk, China, value by segment (CNYm), 2004?14 134
Figure 31: Milk, China, category growth comparison, by value, 2004?14 137
Figure 32: Milk, China, volume by segment (kg/liters, million), 2004?14 140
Figure 33: Milk, China, category growth comparison, by volume, 2004?14 140
Figure 34: Milk, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 143
Figure 35: Milk, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 147
Figure 36: Fromage frais, China, value (CNYm), 2004?14 155
Figure 37: Fromage frais, China, volume (kg, million), 2004?14 158
Figure 38: Fromage frais, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 160
Figure 39: Fromage frais, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 163
Figure 40: Yogurt, China, value by segment (CNYm), 2004?14 169
Figure 41: Yogurt, China, category growth comparison, by value, 2004?14 171
Figure 42: Yogurt, China, volume by segment (kg, million), 2004?14 174
Figure 43: Yogurt, China, category growth comparison, by volume, 2004?14 174
Figure 44: Yogurt, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 176
Figure 45: Yogurt, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 179
Figure 46: Global dairy food market split (value terms, 2009), top five countries 184
Figure 47: Global dairy food market value, 2004–09, top five countries 186
Figure 48: Global dairy food market split (volume terms, 2009), top five countries 188
Figure 49: Global dairy food market volume, 2004–09, top five countries 190
Figure 50: Annual data review process 201

LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Dairy food category definitions 13
Table 2: Dairy food distribution channels 14
Table 3: Dairy food, China, value by category (CNYm), 2004?09 31
Table 4: Dairy food, China, value forecast by category (CNYm), 2009?14 32
Table 5: Dairy food, China, value by category ($m), 2004?09 34
Table 6: Dairy food, China, value forecast by category ($m), 2009?14 35
Table 7: Dairy food, China, volume by category (kg/liters, million), 2004?09 36
Table 8: Dairy food, China, volume forecast by category (kg/liters, million), 2009?14 37
Table 9: Dairy food, China, brand share by value (%), 2008?09 39
Table 10: Dairy food, China, value by brand (CNYm), 2008?09 41
Table 11: Dairy food, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 44
Table 12: Dairy food, China, value by company (CNYm), 2008?09 46
Table 13: Dairy food, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 48
Table 14: Dairy food, China, value by distribution channel (CNYm), 2008?09 48
Table 15: Dairy food, China, expenditure per capita (CNY), 2004?09 50
Table 16: Dairy food, China, forecast expenditure per capita (CNY), 2009?14 51
Table 17: Dairy food, China, expenditure per capita ($), 2004?09 52
Table 18: Dairy food, China, forecast expenditure per capita ($), 2009?14 53
Table 19: Dairy food, China, consumption per capita (kg/liters), 2004?09 54
Table 20: Dairy food, China, forecast consumption per capita (kg/liters), 2009?14 55
Table 21: Spreadable fats, China, value by segment (CNYm), 2004?09 56
Table 22: Spreadable fats, China, value forecast by segment (CNYm), 2009?14 57
Table 23: Spreadable fats, China, value by segment ($m), 2004?09 59
Table 24: Spreadable fats, China, value forecast by segment ($m), 2009?14 60
Table 25: Spreadable fats, China, volume by segment (kg, million), 2004?09 62
Table 26: Spreadable fats, China, volume forecast by segment (kg, million), 2009?14 63
Table 27: Spreadable fats, China, brand share by value (%), 2008?09 65
Table 28: Spreadable fats, China, value by brand (CNYm), 2008?09 65
Table 29: Spreadable fats, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 67
Table 30: Spreadable fats, China, value by company (CNYm), 2008?09 67
Table 31: Spreadable fats, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 68
Table 32: Spreadable fats, China, value by distribution channel (CNYm), 2008?09 68
Table 33: Spreadable fats, China, expenditure per capita (CNY), 2004?09 70
Table 34: Spreadable fats, China, forecast expenditure per capita (CNY), 2009?14 70
Table 35: Spreadable fats, China, expenditure per capita ($), 2004?09 71
Table 36: Spreadable fats, China, forecast expenditure per capita ($), 2009?14 71
Table 37: Spreadable fats, China, consumption per capita (kg), 2004?09 72
Table 38: Spreadable fats, China, forecast consumption per capita (kg), 2009?14 72
Table 39: Soy products, China, value by segment (CNYm), 2004?09 73
Table 40: Soy products, China, value forecast by segment (CNYm), 2009?14 74
Table 41: Soy products, China, value by segment ($m), 2004?09 76
Table 42: Soy products, China, value forecast by segment ($m), 2009?14 76
Table 43: Soy products, China, volume by segment (kg/liters, million), 2004?09 78
Table 44: Soy products, China, volume forecast by segment (kg/liters, million), 2009?14 79
Table 45: Soy products, China, brand share by value (%), 2008?09 81
Table 46: Soy products, China, value by brand (CNYm), 2008?09 81
Table 47: Soy products, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 83
Table 48: Soy products, China, value by company (CNYm), 2008?09 83
Table 49: Soy products, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 84
Table 50: Soy products, China, value by distribution channel (CNYm), 2008?09 84
Table 51: Soy products, China, expenditure per capita (CNY), 2004?09 86
Table 52: Soy products, China, forecast expenditure per capita (CNY), 2009?14 86
Table 53: Soy products, China, expenditure per capita ($), 2004?09 87
Table 54: Soy products, China, forecast expenditure per capita ($), 2009?14 87
Table 55: Soy products, China, consumption per capita (kg/liters), 2004?09 88
Table 56: Soy products, China, forecast consumption per capita (kg/liters), 2009?14 88
Table 57: Cheese, China, value by segment (CNYm), 2004?09 89
Table 58: Cheese, China, value forecast by segment (CNYm), 2009?14 90
Table 59: Cheese, China, value by segment ($m), 2004?09 92
Table 60: Cheese, China, value forecast by segment ($m), 2009?14 92
Table 61: Cheese, China, volume by segment (kg, million), 2004?09 94
Table 62: Cheese, China, volume forecast by segment (kg, million), 2009?14 95
Table 63: Cheese, China, brand share by value (%), 2008?09 97
Table 64: Cheese, China, value by brand (CNYm), 2008?09 98
Table 65: Cheese, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 100
Table 66: Cheese, China, value by company (CNYm), 2008?09 100
Table 67: Cheese, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 101
Table 68: Cheese, China, value by distribution channel (CNYm), 2008?09 101
Table 69: Cheese, China, expenditure per capita (CNY), 2004?09 103
Table 70: Cheese, China, forecast expenditure per capita (CNY), 2009?14 103
Table 71: Cheese, China, expenditure per capita ($), 2004?09 104
Table 72: Cheese, China, forecast expenditure per capita ($), 2009?14 104
Table 73: Cheese, China, consumption per capita (kg), 2004?09 105
Table 74: Cheese, China, forecast consumption per capita (kg), 2009?14 105
Table 75: Chilled desserts, China, value (CNYm), 2004?09 106
Table 76: Chilled desserts, China, value forecast (CNYm), 2009?14 107
Table 77: Chilled desserts, China, value ($m), 2004?09 108
Table 78: Chilled desserts, China, value forecast ($m), 2009?14 109
Table 79: Chilled desserts, China, volume (kg, million), 2004?09 110
Table 80: Chilled desserts, China, volume forecast (kg, million), 2009?14 111
Table 81: Chilled desserts, China, brand share by value (%), 2008?09 112
Table 82: Chilled desserts, China, value by brand (CNYm), 2008?09 112
Table 83: Chilled desserts, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 113
Table 84: Chilled desserts, China, value by company (CNYm), 2008?09 113
Table 85: Chilled desserts, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 114
Table 86: Chilled desserts, China, value by distribution channel (CNYm), 2008?09 114
Table 87: Chilled desserts, China, expenditure per capita (CNY), 2004?09 116
Table 88: Chilled desserts, China, forecast expenditure per capita (CNY), 2009?14 116
Table 89: Chilled desserts, China, expenditure per capita ($), 2004?09 117
Table 90: Chilled desserts, China, forecast expenditure per capita ($), 2009?14 117
Table 91: Chilled desserts, China, consumption per capita (kg), 2004?09 118
Table 92: Chilled desserts, China, forecast consumption per capita (kg), 2009?14 118
Table 93: Cream, China, value (CNYm), 2004?09 119
Table 94: Cream, China, value forecast (CNYm), 2009?14 120
Table 95: Cream, China, value ($m), 2004?09 121
Table 96: Cream, China, value forecast ($m), 2009?14 121
Table 97: Cream, China, volume (liters, million), 2004?09 122
Table 98: Cream, China, volume forecast (liters, million), 2009?14 123
Table 99: Cream, China, brand share by value (%), 2008?09 124
Table 100: Cream, China, value by brand (CNYm), 2008?09 124
Table 101: Cream, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 126
Table 102: Cream, China, value by company (CNYm), 2008?09 126
Table 103: Cream, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 127
Table 104: Cream, China, value by distribution channel (CNYm), 2008?09 127
Table 105: Cream, China, expenditure per capita (CNY), 2004?09 129
Table 106: Cream, China, forecast expenditure per capita (CNY), 2009?14 129
Table 107: Cream, China, expenditure per capita ($), 2004?09 130
Table 108: Cream, China, forecast expenditure per capita ($), 2009?14 130
Table 109: Cream, China, consumption per capita (liters), 2004?09 131
Table 110: Cream, China, forecast consumption per capita (liters), 2009?14 131
Table 111: Milk, China, value by segment (CNYm), 2004?09 132
Table 112: Milk, China, value forecast by segment (CNYm), 2009?14 133
Table 113: Milk, China, value by segment ($m), 2004?09 135
Table 114: Milk, China, value forecast by segment ($m), 2009?14 136
Table 115: Milk, China, volume by segment (kg/liters, million), 2004?09 138
Table 116: Milk, China, volume forecast by segment (kg/liters, million), 2009?14 139
Table 117: Milk, China, brand share by value (%), 2008?09 141
Table 118: Milk, China, value by brand (CNYm), 2008?09 142
Table 119: Milk, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 144
Table 120: Milk, China, value by company (CNYm), 2008?09 145
Table 121: Milk, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 146
Table 122: Milk, China, value by distribution channel (CNYm), 2008?09 146
Table 123: Milk, China, expenditure per capita (CNY), 2004?09 148
Table 124: Milk, China, forecast expenditure per capita (CNY), 2009?14 149
Table 125: Milk, China, expenditure per capita ($), 2004?09 150
Table 126: Milk, China, forecast expenditure per capita ($), 2009?14 151
Table 127: Milk, China, consumption per capita (kg/liters), 2004?09 152
Table 128: Milk, China, forecast consumption per capita (kg/liters), 2009?14 153
Table 129: Fromage frais, China, value (CNYm), 2004?09 154
Table 130: Fromage frais, China, value forecast (CNYm), 2009?14 155
Table 131: Fromage frais, China, value ($m), 2004?09 156
Table 132: Fromage frais, China, value forecast ($m), 2009?14 156
Table 133: Fromage frais, China, volume (kg, million), 2004?09 157
Table 134: Fromage frais, China, volume forecast (kg, million), 2009?14 158
Table 135: Fromage frais, China, brand share by value (%), 2008?09 159
Table 136: Fromage frais, China, value by brand (CNYm), 2008?09 159
Table 137: Fromage frais, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 161
Table 138: Fromage frais, China, value by company (CNYm), 2008?09 161
Table 139: Fromage frais, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 162
Table 140: Fromage frais, China, value by distribution channel (CNYm), 2008?09 162
Table 141: Fromage frais, China, expenditure per capita (CNY), 2004?09 164
Table 142: Fromage frais, China, forecast expenditure per capita (CNY), 2009?14 164
Table 143: Fromage frais, China, expenditure per capita ($), 2004?09 165
Table 144: Fromage frais, China, forecast expenditure per capita ($), 2009?14 165
Table 145: Fromage frais, China, consumption per capita (kg), 2004?09 166
Table 146: Fromage frais, China, forecast consumption per capita (kg), 2009?14 166
Table 147: Yogurt, China, value by segment (CNYm), 2004?09 167
Table 148: Yogurt, China, value forecast by segment (CNYm), 2009?14 168
Table 149: Yogurt, China, value by segment ($m), 2004?09 170
Table 150: Yogurt, China, value forecast by segment ($m), 2009?14 170
Table 151: Yogurt, China, volume by segment (kg, million), 2004?09 172
Table 152: Yogurt, China, volume forecast by segment (kg, million), 2009?14 173
Table 153: Yogurt, China, brand share by value (%), 2008?09 175
Table 154: Yogurt, China, value by brand (CNYm), 2008?09 175
Table 155: Yogurt, China, company share by value (%), 2008?09 177
Table 156: Yogurt, China, value by company (CNYm), 2008?09 177
Table 157: Yogurt, China, distribution channels by value (%), 2008?09 178
Table 158: Yogurt, China, value by distribution channel (CNYm), 2008?09 178
Table 159: Yogurt, China, expenditure per capita (CNY), 2004?09 180
Table 160: Yogurt, China, forecast expenditure per capita (CNY), 2009?14 180
Table 161: Yogurt, China, expenditure per capita ($), 2004?09 181
Table 162: Yogurt, China, forecast expenditure per capita ($), 2009?14 181
Table 163: Yogurt, China, consumption per capita (kg), 2004?09 182
Table 164: Yogurt, China, forecast consumption per capita (kg), 2009?14 182
Table 165: Global dairy food market value, 2009 183
Table 166: Global dairy food market split (value terms ($m), 2009), top five countries 186
Table 167: Global dairy food market volume, 2009 187
Table 168: Global dairy food market split (volume terms, 2009), top five countries 190
Table 169: Leading players, top five countries 191
Table 170: China dairy food new product launches reports, by company (top five companies), 2009 192
Table 171: China dairy food new product launches SKUs, by company (top five companies), 2009 192
Table 172: China dairy food new product launches (reports), by flavor and fragrances (top 10 flavors), 2009 193
Table 173: China dairy food new product launches (reports), by ingredients (top 10 ingredients), 2009 193
Table 174: China dairy food new product launches (reports), by package tags or claims (top 10 claims), 2009 194
Table 175: China dairy food new product launches - recent five launches (2009) 194
Table 176: China population, by age group, 2004?09 (millions) 195
Table 177: China population forecast, by age group, 2009?14 (millions) 196
Table 178: China population, by gender, 2004?09 (millions) 196
Table 179: China population forecast, by gender, 2009?14 (millions) 197
Table 180: China nominal GDP, 2004?09 (CNYbn, nominal prices) 197
Table 181: China nominal GDP forecast, 2009?14 (CNYbn, nominal prices) 197
Table 182: China real GDP, 2004?09 (CNYbn, 2000 prices) 198
Table 183: China real GDP forecast, 2009?14 (CNYbn, 2000 prices) 198
Table 184: China real GDP, 2004?09 ($bn, 2000 prices) 198
Table 185: China real GDP forecast, 2009?14 ($bn, 2000 prices) 199
Table 186: China consumer price index, 2004?09 (2000=100) 199
Table 187: China consumer price index, 2009?14 (2000=100) 199


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