The Eastern European Gas Market Outlook 2009: Country profiles of supply, demand, regulation and infrastructure

The Eastern European Gas Market Outlook 2009
Growth strategies, performance and SWOT analyses

Report Overview

European gas demand was volatile through 2008, with some countries seeing slight declines in demand. However, the longer term forecast is continued growth for the Eastern European gas market as new gas-fired power plants come on-stream.

‘The Eastern European Gas Market Outlook 2009’ is a newly updated report published by Business Insights that examines the role of gas in each of the major Eastern European markets and analyses the differences that exist in terms of gas self sufficiency, and future growth of demand. This report provides new and updated analysis of 12 Eastern European gas markets, with detailed data on supply and demand balances. Each country profile features supply and demand overviews, an examination of key governmental, legal and political influences on the sector and an analysis of wholesale trading and the pipeline, LNG and storage infrastructure.

Key Findings

Several new gas export projects are under way or being planned in Russia, including the Nord Stream under the Baltic Sea, as well as LNG exports. The Russian gas market is dominated by Gazprom, in which the state is the controlling shareholder.

Romania remains the largest producer of gas in the Central and Eastern European region. Although production has been declining in recent years, a number of infrastructure developments have been planned including the introduction of double storage capacity and new cross-border interconnections with the Ukraine and Bulgaria.

The Czech Republic has experienced strong demand growth has in recent years. Although coal is still the dominant fuel, with 45% of primary energy use, gas is becoming a key part of the country’s energy mix.

Slovakia is in a strong position to take commercial advantage of liberalizing European markets due to the country’s close proximity to some of the largest Russian export pipelines, its sizeable storage capacity and its ability to easily increase transit volumes.

Key features

• Profiles of each country’s gas infrastructure including transit and distribution pipelines and their ownership, storage capacities and full colour maps of gas grids.

• An understanding of Eastern European gas regulation, including local legislation, competitive conditions and market reforms.

• Gas supply data in billion cubic metres as well as production, pipeline imports and exports by country and LNG imports.

• Gas demand data by consumer type divided into residential, non-residential and power generation in billion cubic metres.

• An overview of wholesale gas trading market in each country focussing on the market owners and operators, the active players, liquidity and future prospects.

• Gas demand forecasts for each country to 2020, in addition to market trends detailing gas production and demand by sector.

Report Highlights

[Studien Infos ausblenden]

Table of Contents
The Eastern European Gas Market Outlook 2009
Chapter 1 Bulgaria 10
Market summary 10
Supply and demand balance 11
Supply overview 12
Demand overview 14
Regulatory structure 16
Infrastructure 16
Pipelines 16
Chapter 2 Croatia 20
Market summary 20
Supply and demand balance 21
Supply overview 22
Demand overview 23
Regulatory structure 24
Infrastructure 25
Pipelines 25
LNG 25
Storage 26
Chapter 3 Czech Republic 28
Market summary 28
Supply and demand balance 29
Supply overview 30
Demand overview 31
Regulatory structure 33
Infrastructure 34
Pipelines 34
Storage 34
Chapter 4 Estonia 38
Market summary 38
Supply and demand balance 39
Supply overview 40
Demand overview 40
Regulatory structure 42
Infrastructure 42
Pipelines 42
Chapter 5 Hungary 46
Market summary 46
Supply and demand balance 47
Supply overview 48
Demand overview 50
Regulatory structure 51
Infrastructure 53
Pipelines 53
Storage 54
Chapter 6 Latvia 58
Market summary 58
Supply and demand balance 59
Supply overview 60
Demand overview 61
Regulatory structure 62
Infrastructure 63
Pipelines 63
Storage 63
Chapter 7 Lithuania 66
Market summary 66
Supply and demand balance 67
Supply overview 68
Demand overview 69
Regulatory structure 70
Infrastructure 72
Chapter 8 Poland 76
Market summary 76
Supply and demand balance 77
Supply overview 78
Demand overview 80
Regulatory structure 82
Infrastructure 83
Pipelines 83
LNG 84
Storage 84
Chapter 9 Romania 88
Market summary 88
Supply and demand balance 89
Supply overview 90
Demand overview 91
Regulatory structure 93
Infrastructure 94
Storage 96
Chapter 10 Russia 100
Market summary 100
Supply and demand balance 101
Supply overview 102
Demand overview 104
Regulatory structure 106
Infrastructure 108
LNG 108
Storage 108
Chapter 11 Slovakia 112
Market summary 112
Supply and demand balance 113
Supply overview 114
Demand overview 116
Regulatory structure 117
Infrastructure 119
Pipelines 119
Storage 119
Chapter 12 Slovenia 122
Market summary 122
Supply and demand balance 123
Supply overview 124
Demand overview 125
Regulatory structure 127
Infrastructure 128
Pipelines 128
Appendix 130
Definitions 130
[Inhaltsverzeichnis ausblenden]

List of Tables
Table 1.1: Bulgaria, gas supply and demand balance (bcm), 2007-08e* 11
Table 2.2: Croatia gas supply and demand balance (bcm), 2007-08e 21
Table 3.3: Czech Republic gas supply and demand balance (bcm), 2007-08e 29
Table 3.4: Czech Republic, storage sites 35
Table 4.5: Estonia gas supply and demand balance (bcm), 2007-08e* 39
Table 5.6: Hungary gas supply and demand balance (bcm), 2007-08e 47
Table 5.7: Hungary, storage sites 55
Table 6.8: Latvia gas supply and demand balance (bcm), 2007-08e* 59
Table 7.9: Lithuania, supply and demand balance (bcm), 2007-08e 67
Table 8.10: Poland gas supply and demand balance (bcm), 2007-08e 77
Table 8.11: Poland, storage sites 85
Table 9.12: Romania, gas supply and demand balance (bcm), 2007-08e 89
Table 9.13: Romania, storage sites 96
Table 10.14: Russia gas supply and demand balance (bcm), 2007-08e 101
Table 11.15: Slovakia, gas supply and demand balance (bcm), 2007-08e* 113
Table 11.16: Slovakia, storage sites 119
Table 12.17: Slovenia gas supply and demand balance (bcm), 2007-08e* 123
List of Figures
Figure 1.1: Bulgaria, gas production (bcm), 1995-2008e 13
Figure 1.2: Bulgaria, gas import supply sources (%), 2008e 13
Figure 1.3: Bulgaria, gas sectoral demand, 2008e 15
Figure 1.4: Bulgaria, gas historical and forecast demand, 1990-2020 15
Figure 1.5: Bulgaria, gas grid 18
Figure 2.6: Croatia, gas production (bcm), 1992-2008e 22
Figure 2.7: Croatia, gas sectoral demand (%), 2008e 23
Figure 2.8: Croatia, gas historical and forecast demand (bcm), 1990-2020 24
Figure 2.9: Croatia, gas grid 26
Figure 3.10: Czech Republic gas production (bcm), 1990-2008e 30
Figure 3.11: Czech Republic, import supply sources (%), 2008e 31
Figure 3.12: Czech Republic, gas sectoral demand (%), 2008e 32
Figure 3.13: Czech Republic, gas historical and forecast demand (bcm), 1990-2020 32
Figure 3.14: Czech Republic, gas grid 35
Figure 4.15: Estonia, gas sectoral demand (%), 2008e 41
Figure 4.16: Estonia, gas historical and forecast demand (bcm), 1990-2020 41
Figure 4.17: Estonia, gas grid 43
Figure 5.18: Hungary, gas production (bcm), 1990-2008e 48
Figure 5.19: Hungary gas import supply sources (%), 2008e 49
Figure 5.20: Hungary, gas sectoral demand (%), 2008e 50
Figure 5.21: Hungary, gas historical and forecast demand (bcm), 1990-2020 51
Figure 5.22: Hungary, gas network 55
Figure 6.23: Latvia, gas sectoral demand, 2008e 61
Figure 6.24: Latvia, gas historical and forecast demand (bcm), 1990-2020 62
Figure 7.25: Lithuania, gas sectoral demand (%), 2008e 69
Figure 7.26: Lithuania, gas historical and forecast demand (bcm), 1990-2020 70
Figure 8.27: Poland, gas production, 1990-2008e 79
Figure 8.28: Poland, gas import supply sources, 2008e 80
Figure 8.29: Poland, gas sectoral demand, 2008e 81
Figure 8.30: Poland, gas historical and forecast demand, 1990-2020 81
Figure 8.31: Poland, gas grid 85
Figure 9.32: Romania, gas production (bcm), 1990-2008e 90
Figure 9.33: Romania, gas import supply sources (%), 2008e 91
Figure 9.34: Romania, gas sectoral demand (%), 2008e 92
Figure 9.35: Romania, gas historical and forecast demand (bcm), 1990-2020 92
Figure 9.36: Romania, gas grid 97
Figure 10.37: Russia, gas production (bcm), 1990-2008e 103
Figure 10.38: Russia, gas exports (%), 2008e 104
Figure 10.39: Russia, gas historical and forecast demand (bcm), 1990-2020 105
Figure 10.40: Russia, gas network 109
Figure 11.41: Slovakia, gas production (bcm), 1990-2008e 115
Figure 11.42: Slovakia, gas sectoral demand, 2008e 116
Figure 11.43: Slovakia, gas historical and forecast demand (bcm), 1990-2020 117
Figure 11.44: Slovakia, gas grid 120
Figure 12.45: Slovenia, gas production (bcm), 2000-2008e 124
Figure 12.46: Slovenia, gas import supply sources (%), 2008e 125
Figure 12.47: Slovenia, gas sectoral demand (%), 2008e 126
Figure 12.48: Slovenia, gas historical and forecast demand (bcm), 1990-2020 127
Figure 12.49: Slovenia, gas grid 129
[Tabellenverzeichnis ausblenden]