Energy Market Landscape: Algeria

Introduction

Evolving competitive dynamics are rapidly and significantly changing the face of the gas and power markets in and around Europe. As such, a timely and broadly based understanding of the market landscape is vital for players throughout the energy value chain. Central to this is an understanding of the exact stage of competitive development reached in each market, and how it is likely to change.

Scope

*Up-to-date insight on market structures, regulatory developments, supply and demand balances, asset developments and player strategies.

*Insight into current levels of gas and power competitive intensity benchmarked against 33 relevant markets (EU 27 and 6 related countries).

*Forecasts of how the nine metrics making up the competitive intensity scores will change by 2012.

Highlights

The MCI scores draw on nine underlying metrics grouped into three categories: Market Framework (Regulatory Effectiveness; Pricing Regime; Ease of Third Party Access), Supplier Push (Wholesale Fragmentation, Retail Fragmentation, Traded Market Maturity), and Customer Pull (Access to Market Information, Consumer Representation, Propensity to Switch)

Each of the Energy Market Landscape series provides a profile of both the relevant gas and power market. Issues examined include regulatory structures, player strategies and supply/demand dynamics. There is also a list of operational, planned and under construction infrastructure including power stations, pipelines, LNG terminals and storage sites

Reasons to Purchase

*Obtain up-to-date, relevant and standardized information on European and related energy markets from a single source.

*Have a logical framework to monitor market developments and emerging trends, identify opportunities and plan strategies accordingly.

*Assess current and future gas and power market competitive environments by gaining insight into factors driving market competitiveness.


Report Highlights

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Datamonitor View 1
CATALYST 1
SUMMARY 1
Analysis 2
Gas Market Overview 2
Industry Landscape 2
Retail Market Players 2
Wholesale Environment 2
Gas Supply and Demand Analysis 2
Gas Infrastructure 8
Pipelines 8
LNG 9
Electricity Market Overview 11
Industry Landscape 11
Retail Market Players 12
Electricity Supply and Demand Analysis 13
Electricity Infrastructure 17
Generation Capacity 17
Electricity Networks 18
Competitive Intensity Analysis Overview 20
Datamonitor's MCI Index offers a robust framework for measuring the development of energy Market Competitive Intensity 20
The MCI Index shows how competitive a particular market is. This has applications for both new entrants seeking to enter the market, and established players and former monopoly incumbents seeking to define their market share from new entrants. 20
The MCI Index assesses markets as they stood in early 2010 and forecasts conditions likely to be prevailing in July 2013, five years after full market opening. 20
The MCI assessment draws on nine underlying metrics grouped into three broad clusters: Market framework; Supplier Push; Customer Pull 21
Each of the nine pillars has an assessment scale to allow for the comparison of diverse markets (see appendix for more details) 22
Gas Market Competitive Intensity 23
Like the power market, Algeria's gas sector is curtailed by monopolistic control 23
Like the power market, Algeria's gas sector is curtailed by monopolistic control 24
Algeria's gas market framework metrics score better than those currently prevailing in the power market 24
Effectiveness of Regulator [2010: 4/10 2013: 6/10] 24
Ease of Third Party Access [2010: 4.5/10 2013: 6/10] 24
Pricing Regime [2010: 1/10 2013: 1/10] 25
Algeria's gas supplier push metrics are curtailed by the role of Sonatrach 25
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2010: 2.5/10 2013: 5/10] 25
Retail Market Fragmentation [2010: 0.1/10 2013:0.1/10] 25
Traded Market Maturity [2010: 0.1/10 2013: 0.1/10] 25
Weak customer pull metrics reflect the concentrated nature of Algeria's gas market 25
Access to Market Information and Assistance [2010: 3.5/10 2013: 4.5/10] 25
Consumer Representation [2010: 2/10 2013: 3/10] 25
Propensity to Switch [2010: 0.1/10 2013: 0.1/10] 25
Electricity Market Competitive Intensity 26
Algeria has a one company dominated power market which serves to limit its total score 26
Algeria has a one company driven market and hence the overall scenario is not very viable for new competitors 27
The market framework scores are expected to improve during the forecast period as we expect the reform process to reach a more developed stage by 2013 27
Effectiveness of Regulator [2010: 3.5/10 2013: 5/10] 27
Ease of Third Party Access [2010: 2/10 2013: 5/10] 28
Pricing Regime [2010: 1/10 2013: 1/10] 28
Algeria's Supplier Push metrics will remain low whilst Sonelgaz maintains control 28
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2010: 1.5/10 2013: 3.5/10] 28
Retail Market Fragmentation [2010: 0.1/10 2013:1.5/10] 28
Traded Market Maturity [2010: 0.1/10 2013: 0.1/10] 28
Customer Pull metrics largely remain at the lower range of the scale 28
Access to Market Information and Assistance [2010: 2/10 2013: 2/10] 28
Consumer Representation [2010: 2/10 2013: 2/10] 28
Propensity to Switch [2010: 0.1/10 2013: 0.1/10] 29
Commercial opportunities exist, though overcoming the threat posed by existing players is a significant challenge 29
COMPETITIVE INTENSITY ANALYSIS APPENDIX 30
MCI Scores Summary 30
MCI Scoring Scales 33
APPENDIX 38
Definitions 38
Ask the analyst 39
Datamonitor consulting 39
Disclaimer 39
List of Tables
Table 1: Algeria major gas retail players, 2008 2
Table 2: Algeria gas supply and demand balance, 2008?09e 3
Table 3: Algeria gas transmission pipelines 9
Table 4: Algeria LNG terminals 10
Table 5: Algeria major power retail players, 2008 12
Table 6: Algeria power supply and demand balance, 2008?09e 14
Table 7: Market Competitive Intensity, Algeria 2010 and 2013 30
Table 8: MCI Additive, Europe 2010 and 2013 31
Table 9: MCI Multiplicative, Europe 2010 and 2013 32
List of Figures
Figure 1: Algeria indigenous gas production, 1990?2009e 5
Figure 2: Algeria gas export supply sources, 2009e 6
Figure 3: Algeria gas consumption by sector, 2009e 7
Figure 4: Algeria gas consumption, trends and forecasts, 1990?2020f 8
Figure 5: Algeria power production, 1990?2009e 15
Figure 6: Algeria power consumption by sector, 2009e 16
Figure 7: Algeria power consumption, trends and forecasts, 1990?2020f 17
Figure 8: Algeria power generation capacity by fuel type, 2008 18
Figure 9: MCI Assessment Scale 20
Figure 10: MCI Assessment Framework 21
Figure 11: MCI Scales 22
Figure 12: European Gas Market Competitive Intensity, 2010?13 23
Figure 13: Gas Market Competitive Intensity, Algeria 24
Figure 14: European Power Market Competitive Intensity, 2010?13 26
Figure 15: Power Market Competitive Intensity, Algeria 27
Figure 16: Market Competitive Intensity, Algeria 29
Figure 17: Scale for MCI Assessment, Effectiveness of Regulator 33
Figure 18: Scale for MCI Assessment, Ease of Third Party Access 34
Figure 19: Scale for MCI Assessment, Pricing Regime 34
Figure 20: Scale for MCI Assessment, Wholesale Market Fragmentation 35
Figure 21: Scale for MCI Assessment, Retail Market Fragmentation 35
Figure 22: Scale for MCI Assessment, Traded Market Maturity 36
Figure 23: Scale for MCI Assessment, Access to Market Information 36
Figure 24: Scale for MCI Assessment, Consumer Representation 37
Figure 25: Scale for MCI Assessment, Propensity to Switch 37

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