DATAMONITOR VIEW 1
CATALYST 1
SUMMARY 1
ANALYSIS 2
Gas Market Overview 2
Industry Landscape 2
Gas Supply and Demand Analysis 2
Gas Infrastructure 5
Pipelines 5
LNG 6
Electricity Market Overview 7
Industry Landscape 7
Electricity Supply and Demand Analysis 7
Electricity Infrastructure 11
Generation Capacity 11
Electricity Networks 12
Competitive Intensity Analysis Overview 13
Datamonitor's MCI Index offers a robust framework for measuring the development of energy Market Competitive Intensity 13
The MCI Index shows how competitive a particular market is. This has applications for both new entrants seeking to enter the market, and established players and former monopoly incumbents seeking to defend their market share from new entrants. 13
The MCI Index assesses markets as they stood in early 2010 and forecasts conditions likely to be prevailing in 2013. 13
The MCI assessment draws on nine underlying metrics grouped into three broad clusters: Market framework; Supplier Push; Customer Pull 14
Each of the nine pillars has an assessment scale to allow for the comparison of diverse markets (see appendix for more details) 15
Gas Market Competitive Intensity 16
Singapore's gas market score is driven by Market Framework metrics 17
Market restructuring is continuing to help develop Market Framework scores 17
Effectiveness of regulator [2010: 6/10 2013: 7/10] 17
Ease of third-party access [2010: 7/10 2013: 8/10] 18
Pricing Regime [2010: 2/10 2013: 3/10] 18
Not much development is expected in the Supplier Push metrics 18
Wholesale market fragmentation [2010: 4.5/10 2013: 4.5/10] 18
Retail market fragmentation [2010: 4.5/10 2013: 4.5/10] 18
Traded market maturity [2010: 0.1/10 2013: 0.1/10] 18
Customer Pull scores remain at a largely undeveloped stage 19
Access to market information and assistance [2010: 2/10 2013: 3/10] 19
Consumer representation [2010: 2.5/10 2013: 3/10] 19
Propensity to switch [2010: 0.5/10 2013: 1/10] 19
Electricity Market Competitive Intensity 20
Singapore's power sector was Asia's first liberalized market 21
Market Framework scores remain strong over the forecast period 21
Effectiveness of regulator [2010: 8/10 2013: 8.5/10] 21
Ease of third-party access [2010: 6/10 2013: 6/10] 21
Pricing Regime [2010: 2.5/10 2013: 3/10] 22
Supplier Push metrics show some degree of development over the forecast period 22
Wholesale market fragmentation [2010: 5/10 2013: 6.5/10] 22
Retail market fragmentation [2010: 6/10 2013: 7/10] 22
Traded market maturity [2010: 2.5/10 2013: 4/10] 22
Customer pull metrics show improvement in the forecasted period 23
Access to market information and assistance [2010: 5.5/10 2013: 7.5/10] 23
Consumer representation [2010: 3.5/10 2013: 4.5/10] 23
Propensity to switch [2010: 2.5/10 2013: 4.5/10] 23
Competitive intensity in the gas sector will continue to lag that seen in power 24
COMPETITIVE INTENSITY ANALYSIS APPENDIX 25
MCI Scores Summary 25
MCI Scoring Scales 27
APPENDIX 32
Definitions 32
Ask the analyst 34
Datamonitor consulting 34
Disclaimer 34
List of Tables
Table 1: Singapore gas supply and demand balance, 2008?09e 3
Table 2: Singapore power supply and demand balance, 2008?09 8
Table 3: Market Competitive Intensity, Singapore 2010 and 2013 25
Table 4: MCI Additive, Asia Pacific 2010 and 2013 26
Table 5: MCI Multiplicative, Asia Pacific 2010 and 2013 26
List of Figures
Figure 1: Singapore gas import supply sources, 2009e 4
Figure 2: Singapore gas consumption, trends and forecasts, 1992?2020f 5
Figure 3: Singapore power production by fuel type, 2009 9
Figure 4: Singapore power sectoral consumption, 2009 10
Figure 5: Singapore power consumption, trends and forecasts, 1990?2020f 11
Figure 6: Singapore power generation capacity by fuel type, 2009 12
Figure 7: MCI Assessment Scale 13
Figure 8: MCI Assessment Framework 14
Figure 9: MCI Scales 15
Figure 10: European Gas Market Competitive Intensity, 2010-13 16
Figure 11: Gas Market Competitive Intensity, Singapore 17
Figure 12: Asia Pacific Power Market Competitive Intensity, 2010-13 20
Figure 13: Power Market Competitive Intensity, Singapore 21
Figure 14: Market Competitive Intensity, Singapore 24
Figure 15: Scale for MCI Assessment, Effectiveness of Regulator 27
Figure 16: Scale for MCI Assessment, Ease of Third Party Access 28
Figure 17: Scale for MCI Assessment, Pricing Regime 28
Figure 18: Scale for MCI Assessment, Wholesale Market Fragmentation 29
Figure 19: Scale for MCI Assessment, Retail Market Fragmentation 29
Figure 20: Scale for MCI Assessment, Traded Market Maturity 30
Figure 21: Scale for MCI Assessment, Access to Market Information 31
Figure 22: Scale for MCI Assessment, Consumer Representation 31
Figure 23: Scale for MCI Assessment, Propensity to Switch 32
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