Energy Market Landscape: Sweden

Introduction

Evolving competitive dynamics are rapidly and significantly changing the face of the gas and power markets in and around Europe. As such, a timely and broadly based understanding of the market landscape is vital for players throughout the energy value chain. Central to this is an understanding of the exact stage of competitive development reached in each market, and how it is likely to change.

Scope

*Up-to-date insight on market structures, regulatory developments, supply and demand balances, asset developments and player strategies.

*Insight into current levels of gas and power competitive intensity benchmarked against 33 relevant markets (EU 27 and 6 related countries).

*Forecasts of how the nine metrics making up the competitive intensity scores will change by 2012.

Highlights

The MCI scores draw on nine underlying metrics grouped into three categories: Market Framework (Regulatory Effectiveness; Pricing Regime; Ease of Third Party Access), Supplier Push (Wholesale Fragmentation, Retail Fragmentation, Traded Market Maturity), and Customer Pull (Access to Market Information, Consumer Representation, Propensity to Switch)

Each of the Energy Market Landscape series provides a profile of both the relevant gas and power market. Issues examined include regulatory structures, player strategies and supply/demand dynamics. There is also a list of operational, planned and under construction infrastructure including power stations, pipelines, LNG terminals and storage sites

Reasons to Purchase

*Obtain up-to-date, relevant and standardized information on European and related energy markets from a single source.

*Have a logical framework to monitor market developments and emerging trends, identify opportunities and plan strategies accordingly.

*Assess current and future gas and power market competitive environments by gaining insight into factors driving market competitiveness.


Report Highlights

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DATAMONITOR VIEW 1
CATALYST 1
SUMMARY 1
ANALYSIS 2
Gas Market Overview 2
Industry Landscape 2
Retail Market Players 2
Gas Supply and Demand Analysis 2
Gas Infrastructure 6
Pipelines 6
Storage 7
E.ON Sverige AB opened Sweden's first commercial natural gas storage plant in southern Halland on May 1, 2006. The plant has a capacity to store 10mcm of natural gas at normal temperature and pressure. 7
LNG 7
Electricity Market Overview 8
Industry Landscape 8
Retail Market Players 8
Wholesale Environment 8
Electricity Supply and Demand Analysis 8
Electricity Infrastructure 13
Generation Capacity 13
Electricity Networks 14
Competitive Intensity Analysis Overview 16
Datamonitor's MCI Index offers a robust framework for measuring the development of energy Market Competitive Intensity 16
The MCI Index shows how competitive a particular market is. This has applications for both new entrant seeking to enter the market, and established players and former monopoly incumbents seeking to defined their market share from new entrants. 16
The MCI Index assesses markets as they stood in early 2010 and forecasts conditions likely to be prevailing in July 2013, five years after full market opening 16
The MCI assessment draws on nine underlying metrics grouped into three broad clusters: Market framework; Supplier Push; Customer Pull 17
Each of the nine pillars has an assessment scale to allow for the comparison of diverse markets (see appendix for more details) 18
Gas Market Competitive Intensity 19
The undeveloped nature of the Swedish gas sector means that it ranks towards the bottom of the markets surveyed 19
In contrast to the power market, all but one of Sweden's gas scores are at the bottom end of the scale 20
The undeveloped nature of the Swedish gas market constrains the Market Framework scores 20
Effectiveness of Regulator [2010: 3/10 2013: 3.5/10] 20
Ease of Third Party Access [2010: 3/10 2013: 3/10] 20
Pricing Regime [2010: 5 /10 2013: 6.5/10] 21
High levels of wholesale and retail fragmentation combined with a lack of wholesale gas constrain the Market Framework scores 21
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2010: 0.5/10 2013: 2/10] 21
Retail Market Fragmentation [2010: 1/10 2013: 2/10] 21
Traded Market Maturity [2010: 0.1/10 2013: 0.1/10] 21
Customer Pull metrics will remain at the lower end of the scale due to the immature nature of the market 21
Access to Market Information and Assistance [2010: 3/10 2013: 5.5/10] 21
Consumer Representation [2010: 1/10 2013: 2.5/10] 22
Propensity to Switch [2010: 1.5/10 2013: 2.5/10] 22
Electricity Market Competitive Intensity 23
Sweden's power market score is significantly ahead of the majority of markets surveyed 23
The majority of Sweden's metrics score towards the upper end of the scale 24
The Swedish Market Framework metrics are likely to gain further strength by July 2013 24
Effectiveness of Regulator [2010: 3.5/10 2013: 5/10] 24
Ease of Third Party Access [2010: 7/10 2013: 8/10] 24
Pricing Regime [2010: 6.5/10 2013: 8.5/10] 25
Supplier Push metrics are driven by the existence of the Nord Pool market 25
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2010: 5/10 2013: 6/10] 25
Retail Market Fragmentation [2010: 7.5/10 2013: 8.5/10] 25
Traded Market Maturity [2010: 10/10 2013: 10/10] 25
Customer Pull factors score relatively highly, though are unlikely to show any further improvement 25
Access to Market Information and Assistance [2010: 7.5/10 2013: 8.5/10] 25
Consumer Representation [2010: 5.5/10 2013: 7/10] 25
Propensity to Switch [2010: 1.5/10 2013: 2.5/10] 25
COMPETITIVE INTENSITY ANALYSIS APPENDIX 27
MCI Scores Summary 27
MCI Scoring Scales 30
APPENDIX 35
List of power stations in Sweden 35
Definitions 42
Ask the analyst 43
Datamonitor consulting 43
Disclaimer 43
List of Tables
Table 1: Sweden major gas retail market players, 2008 2
Table 2: Sweden gas supply and demand balance, 2008?09e 3
Table 3: Sweden gas transmission pipelines 7
Table 4: Sweden LNG terminals 7
Table 5: Sweden major power retail players, 2008 8
Table 6: Sweden power supply and demand balance, 2008?09e 9
Table 7: Sweden system capacity 15
Table 8: Market Competitive Intensity, Sweden 2010 and 2013 27
Table 9: MCI Additive, Europe 2010 and 2013 28
Table 10: MCI Multiplicative, Europe 2010 and 2013 29
Table 11: Sweden power generation assets 35
List of Figures
Figure 1: Sweden gas import supply sources, 2009e 4
Figure 2: Sweden gas sectoral consumption, 2009e 5
Figure 3: Sweden gas consumption, trends and forecasts, 1990?2020f 6
Figure 4: Sweden power production by fuel type, 1990?2009e 10
Figure 5: Sweden power production by fuel type, 2009e 11
Figure 6: Sweden power sectoral consumption, 2009e 12
Figure 7: Sweden power consumption, trends and forecasts, 1990?2020f 13
Figure 8: Sweden power generation capacity by fuel type, 2008 14
Figure 9: MCI Assessment Scale 16
Figure 10: MCI Assessment Framework 17
Figure 11: MCI Scales 18
Figure 12: European Gas Market Competitive Intensity, 2010-13 19
Figure 13: Gas Market Competitive Intensity, Sweden 20
Figure 14: European Power Market Competitive Intensity, 2010-13 23
Figure 15: Power Market Competitive Intensity, Sweden 24
Figure 16: Market Competitive Intensity, Sweden 26
Figure 17: Scale for MCI Assessment, Effectiveness of Regulator 30
Figure 18: Scale for MCI Assessment, Ease of Third Party Access 31
Figure 19: Scale for MCI Assessment, Pricing Regime 31
Figure 20: Scale for MCI Assessment, Wholesale Market Fragmentation 32
Figure 21: Scale for MCI Assessment, Retail Market Fragmentation 32
Figure 22: Scale for MCI Assessment, Traded Market Maturity 33
Figure 23: Scale for MCI Assessment, Access to Market Information 33
Figure 24: Scale for MCI Assessment, Consumer Representation 34
Figure 25: Scale for MCI Assessment, Propensity to Switch 34

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