DATAMONITOR VIEW 1
CATALYST 1
SUMMARY 1
ANALYSIS 2
Gas Market Overview 2
Industry Landscape 2
Gas Supply and Demand Analysis 2
Gas Infrastructure 6
Pipelines 6
Electricity Market Overview 8
Industry Landscape 8
Electricity Supply and Demand Analysis 8
Electricity Infrastructure 13
Generation Capacity 13
Electricity Networks 15
Competitive Intensity Analysis Overview 16
Datamonitor's MCI Index offers a robust framework for measuring the development of energy Market Competitive Intensity 16
The MCI Index shows how competitive a particular market is. This has applications for both new entrants seeking to enter the market, and established players and former monopoly incumbents seeking to defined their market share from new entrants. 16
The MCI Index assesses markets as they stood in early 2010 and forecasts conditions likely to be prevailing in July 2013, five years after full market opening. 16
The MCI assessment draws on nine underlying metrics grouped into three broad clusters: Market framework; Supplier Push; Customer Pull 17
Each of the nine pillars has an assessment scale to allow for the comparison of diverse markets (see appendix for more details) 18
Gas Market Competitive Intensity 19
Switzerland's gas position remains weak over the forecast period 19
Regional monopolies and weak market regulation impede competition 20
Market framework metrics doesn't show any significant improvement 20
Effectiveness of Regulator [2010: 2.5/10 2013: 3.5/10] 20
Ease of Third Party Access [2010: 2/10 2013: 3.5/10] 20
Pricing Regime [2010: 4/10 2013: 4/10] 21
Supplier push metrics remain weak over the forecast period 21
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2010: 2/10 2013: 2.5/10] 21
Retail Market Fragmentation [2010: 2/10 2013: 2.5/10] 21
Traded Market Maturity [2010: 0.5/10 2013: 2/10] 21
In 2009, Swiss Energy Trading has planned to launch a common trading platform for the use of Swissgas with its four regional distributors for the purpose of securing short term supply. There has not been any significant progress in this regard, however if a common trading platform emerges, traded market is expected to improve in the forecasted period. 21
Customer Pull metrics remain weak throughout the forecast period 21
Access to Market Information and Assistance [2010: 2/10 2013: 2.5/10] 21
Consumer Representation [2010: 1/10 2013: 1.5/10] 21
Propensity to Switch [2010: 0.1/10 2013: 0.1/10] 21
Electricity Market Competitive Intensity 22
The competitive intensity ranking of Switzerland's power market will deteriorate over the period 22
Switzerland's power position is impacted by weak market framework and customer pull factors 23
Market Framework metrics will remain lower during the forecast period 23
Effectiveness of Regulator [2010: 2/10 2013: 2.5/10] 23
Ease of Third Party Access [2010: 0.5/10 2013: 1.5/10] 23
Pricing Regime [2010:3/10 2012: 4/10] 23
Supplier Push metrics are surprisingly strong 24
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2010: 5/10 2013: 6/10] 24
Retail Market Fragmentation [2010: 3/10 2013: 3.5/10] 24
Traded Market Maturity [2010: 7/10 2013: 8/10] 24
Only consumer representation scores highly on the Customer Pull pillar 24
Access to Market Information and Assistance [2010: 2.5/10 2013: 3.5/10] 24
Consumer Representation [2010: 7/10 2013: 8/10] 24
Propensity to Switch [2010: 0.1/10 2013: 0.1/10] 24
The competitive outlook for the power market remains stronger than in gas 25
COMPETITIVE INTENSITY ANALYSIS APPENDIX 26
MCI Scores Summary 26
MCI Scoring Scales 29
APPENDIX 34
List of power stations in Switzerland 34
Definitions 39
Ask the analyst 41
Datamonitor consulting 41
Disclaimer 41
List of Tables
Table 1: Switzerland gas supply and demand balance, 2008?09e 3
Table 2: Switzerland gas transmission pipelines 7
Table 3: Switzerland power supply and demand balance, 2008?09e 9
Table 4: Switzerland system capacity 15
Table 5: Market Competitive Intensity, Switzerland 2010 and 2013 26
Table 6: MCI Additive, Europe 2010 and 2013 27
Table 7: MCI Multiplicative, Europe 2010 and 2013 28
Table 8: Switzerland power generation assets 34
List of Figures
Figure 1: Switzerland gas import supply sources, 2009e 4
Figure 2: Switzerland gas sectoral consumption, 2009e 5
Figure 3: Switzerland gas consumption, trends and forecasts, 1990?2020f 6
Figure 4: Switzerland power production by fuel type, 1990?2009e 10
Figure 5: Switzerland power production by fuel type, 2009e 11
Figure 6: Switzerland power sectoral consumption, 2009e 12
Figure 7: Switzerland power consumption, trends and forecasts, 1990?2020f 13
Figure 8: Switzerland power generation capacity by fuel type, 2008 14
Figure 9: MCI Assessment Scale 16
Figure 10: MCI Assessment Framework 17
Figure 11: MCI Scales 18
Figure 12: European Gas Market Competitive Intensity, 2010?13 19
Figure 13: Gas Market Competitive Intensity, Switzerland 20
Figure 14: European Power Market Competitive Intensity, 2010?13 22
Figure 15: Power Market Competitive Intensity, Switzerland 23
Figure 16: Market Competitive Intensity, Switzerland 25
Figure 17: Scale for MCI Assessment, Effectiveness of Regulator 29
Figure 18: Scale for MCI Assessment, Ease of Third Party Access 30
Figure 19: Scale for MCI Assessment, Pricing Regime 30
Figure 20: Scale for MCI Assessment, Wholesale Market Fragmentation 31
Figure 21: Scale for MCI Assessment, Retail Market Fragmentation 31
Figure 22: Scale for MCI Assessment, Traded Market Maturity 32
Figure 23: Scale for MCI Assessment, Access to Market Information 32
Figure 24: Scale for MCI Assessment, Consumer Representation 33
Figure 25: Scale for MCI Assessment, Propensity to Switch 33
[Inhaltsverzeichnis ausblenden]