Overview 1
Catalyst 1
Summary 1
Methodology 1
Executive Summary 2
Introduction 2
The Evolution of Enterprise Risk Management (Market Focus) 2
Enterprise Risk Management objectives and imperatives(Strategy Focus) 2
Technology strategies in Enterprise Risk Management (Technology Focus) 3
Key enterprise risk management investment areas (Databook) 3
IT spending opportunities in retail banking and financial markets (Databook) 3
The Evolution of Enterprise Risk Management (Market Focus) 7
Summary 7
Analysis 7
Introduction 7
Credit risk failures can precipitate liquidity risk, so model assumptions need to be dynamic 8
Sub-prime crisis background 8
Credit risk challenges: leverage and modeling 9
Credit risk challenges: ratings agencies 9
Credit risk challenges: aggregation and integration 10
Credit risk challenges: knock-on effects 10
Implications for credit risk assessment and pricing 10
Changes to ratings agency policy and practice 11
Modeling 11
Over-reliance on modeling and silo structures prevented the successful aggregation of portfolio risk profiles. 11
Modeling shortfalls 11
Liquidity risk 12
While credit and market risk have long driven investment, operational risk is still evolving 12
ORM process 12
Communication is key. 13
The growing convergence between IT and risk is being driven by regulatory change 14
Compliance as opportunity. 14
MiFID and RegNMS update 14
Conclusion 16
Enterprise Risk Management objectives and imperatives(Strategy Focus) 17
Summary 17
Analysis 17
Introduction 17
Information risk management is the foundation of successful operational risk frameworks. 17
Fraud/AML detection and prevention an important entry point to ORM 18
Risk based product pricing must reflect all risks to ensure the most efficient use of capital. 19
Risk based asset pricing. 19
Efficient cost of capital: economic capital modeling 21
Performance management 22
Operational risk management (ORM) is maturing from historically tactical solutions 23
Considerations in establishing an ORM framework 24
Operational risk loss databases. 25
Conclusion 26
Bank IT strategies in Enterprise Risk Management (Technology Focus) 27
Summary 27
Analysis 27
Introduction 27
Successful solutions will be those able to deliver the right metrics to the right people in the right time. 28
Automation opportunities continue to be found in credit risk 28
Automation and its limited role in operational risk to date 30
Flexibility is the key feature of operational risk solutions 30
Industrializing computing scale by grid computing 31
In operational risk, outsourcing opportunities at this point are limited. 32
Outsourcing of regulatory compliance can bring benefits but strict governance is required 33
External loss databases 33
Vendor opportunity exists in flexible, customizable solutions 33
Need for economic capital efficiency is driving development in calculation engines and loss data utilization. 34
Economic capital will be at the heart of overall risk management strategy in financial services 34
Operational risk capital calculation methodologies are being refined 35
Process review key to ongoing refinement 36
Vendor opportunities 37
Conclusion 38
Key enterprise risk management investment areas (Databook) 39
Introduction 39
Risk spending is expected to remain largely unaffected due to operational and credit risk drivers. 39
Operational risk will continue to grow at a faster pace in the search for performance based efficiencies 41
IT spending opportunities in retail banking and financial markets (Databook) 43
Introduction 43
Credit risk spending will lift in 2009 as further integration within enterprise risk becomes possible. 43
Firms will seek to leverage prior investment internally in the drive to find efficiencies. 45
APPENDIX 47
Definitions 47
Extended methodology 47
Further reading 47
Ask the analyst 47
Datamonitor consulting 48
Disclaimer 48
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