Market Competitive Intensity (MCI): Czech Republic

Datamonitor's Market Competitive Intensity Index (MCI) is a robust framework for measuring and benchmarking the development of competitiveness and market conditions in a range of gas and electricty markets. The MCI assessment draws on nine underlying metrics grouped into three broad clusters: Market framework; Supplier Push and Customer Pull.

Report Highlights
Datamonitor's MCI Index offers a robust framework for measuring the development of utility Market Competitive Intensity. MCI scores are calculated using two different methods. The first, the simple weighted average (additive) measure shows overall competitive intensity. The second, the multipliative method, is more complex. It prevents markets with an overly wide spread of underlying raw scores from exerting undue influence over, or skewing, the final result.
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DATAMONITOR VIEW 1
CATALYST 1
SUMMARY 1
ANALYSIS 2
Introduction: Datamonitor's MCI Index offers a robust framework for measuring the development of energy Market Competitive Intensity 2
The MCI Index shows how attractive a particular market is to new entrants in terms of the competitive environment 2
The MCI assessment draws on nine underlying metrics grouped into three broad clusters: Market framework; Supplier Push; Customer Pull. 3
The MCI Index measures competitive intensity in the EU 27 and 6 related markets 4
The MCI Index assesses markets as they stood in early 2008 and forecasts conditions likely to be prevailing three years after full market opening 4
The MCI Index offers an assessment of competitive intensity in January 2008 and a forecast for July 2010 - three years after full market opening took place in the EU states. 4
Two differing overall MCI scores are calculated to ensure full clarity of results 5
A simple weighted average (additive) measure shows overall competitive intensity 5
A weighted multiple (multiplicative) measure shows overall competitive intensity 5
The MCI framework has a number of applications for your organization 6
Context: The Czech Republic leads the rest of Central and Eastern Europe in competitive intensityEurope in terms of gas and power market competitive intensity 7
The Czech Republic power score remains around the centre point of the sliding scale 7
Like many other less competitive markets, the Czech gas score is impacted by the lack of a traded market 8
Power MCI: Strong market framework scores offset weakness in the customer pull metrics 9
Market Framework factors are likely to show incremental change by 2010 9
Effectiveness of Regulator [2008: 8/10 2010: 9/10] 9
Ease of Third Party Access [2008: 8/10 2010: 9/10] 10
Effectiveness of Balancing and Data Transfer [2008: 7.5/10 2010: 8.5/10] 10
Supplier Push factors are curtailed by the lack of a traded market and the dominance of CEZ 10
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2008: 5/10 2010: 6/10] 10
Retail Market Fragmentation [2008: 5/10 2010: 6/10] 10
Traded Market Maturity [2008: 4/10 2010: 6/10] 10
Customer Pull factors achieve only limited scores both now and in July 2010 11
Access to Market Information and Assistance [2008: 3.5/10 2010: 5.5/10] 11
Consumer Representation [2008: 3/10 2010: 4/10] 11
Propensity to Switch [2008: 2/10 2010: 3.5/10] 11
Gas MCI: Strength in the regulation and TPA metrics support the overall score 12
The development of liberalisation will drive all of the Market Framework scores higher 12
Effectiveness of Regulator [2008: 8/10 2010: 8.5/10] 12
Ease of Third Party Access [2008: 8/10 2010: 9/10] 13
Effectiveness of Balancing and Data Transfer [2008: 4.5/10 2010: 5.5/10] 13
Supplier Push scores remain modest during the forecast period 13
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2008: 2/10 2010: 2/10] 13
Retail Market Fragmentation [2008: 2.5/10 2010: 3.5/10] 13
Traded Market Maturity [2008: 0/10 2010: 0/10] 14
Customer Pull factors all score at the lower end of the scale 14
Access to Market Information and Assistance [2008: 2/10 2010: 2.5/10] 14
Consumer Representation [2008: 3.5/10 2010: 5/10] 14
Propensity to Switch [2008: 2/10 2010: 3.5/10] 14
Outlook: Near term opportunities in the power market are likely to exceed those in the gas market 15
Competitive intensity in the Czech power market will continue to lead that seen in the gas market 15
Power scores 15
Gas scores 15
New entrants to the Czech power markets will need to mitigate the threat posed by dominant players 16
New Market Entrant Opportunities, Power 16
New Market Entrant Threats, Power 16
Commercial opportunities in the Czech gas market appear to be very limited both now and in 2010 16
New Market Entrant Opportunities, Gas 16
New Market Entrant Threats, Gas 16
MCI Scores 17
APPENDIX 20
Definitions 20
Ask the analyst 27
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Table 1: Market Competitive Intensity, Czech Republic 2008-10 17
Table 2: MCI Additive, Europe 2008-2010 18
Table 3: MCI Multiplicative, Europe 2008-2010 19
Figure 1: MCI Assessment Scale 2
Figure 2: MCI Assessment Framework 3
Figure 3: MCI Market Coverage 4
Figure 4: MCI Scales 5
Figure 5: MCI Applications 6
Figure 6: European Power Market Competitive Intensity, 2008-10 7
Figure 7: European Gas Market Competitive Intensity, 2008-10 8
Figure 8: Power Market Competitive Intensity, Czech Republic 9
Figure 9: Gas Market Competitive Intensity, Czech Republic 12
Figure 10: Market Competitive Intensity, Czech Republic 15
Figure 11: Scale for MCI Assessment, Effectiveness of Regulator 20
Figure 12: Scale for MCI Assessment, Ease of Third Party Access 21
Figure 13: Scale for MCI Assessment, Effectiveness of Balancing and Data Transfer 21
Figure 14: Scale for MCI Assessment, Wholesale Market Fragmentation 22
Figure 15: Scale for MCI Assessment, Retail Market Fragmentation 23
Figure 16: Scale for MCI Assessment, Traded Market Maturity 24
Figure 17: Scale for MCI Assessment, Access to Market Information and Assistance 25
Figure 18: Scale for MCI Assessment, Consumer Representation 26
Figure 19: Scale for MCI Assessment, Propensity to Switch 27
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