DATAMONITOR VIEW 1
CATALYST 1
SUMMARY 1
ANALYSIS 2
Introduction: Datamonitor's MCI Index offers a robust framework for measuring the development of energy Market Competitive Intensity 2
The MCI Index shows how attractive a particular market is to new entrants in terms of the competitive environment 3
The MCI assessment draws on nine underlying metrics grouped into three broad clusters: market framework, supplier push, customer pull 3
The MCI Index measures the development of 20 Asia Pacific gas and power markets 4
The MCI Index assesses markets in December 2007, and on July 1, 2010, in addition to driving a market switching forecast 4
Each of the nine pillars has an assessment scale to allow for the comparison of diverse markets (see appendix for more details) 5
Two differing overall MCI scores are calculated to ensure full clarity of results 5
A simple weighted average (additive) measure shows overall competitive intensity 5
A weighted multiple (multiplicative) measure shows overall competitive intensity 5
The MCI framework has a number of applications for your organization 6
Context: Energy market competitive intensity remains modest in Hong Kong 7
The Hong Kong power market shows some development across all metrics over the forecast period 7
The Hong Kong gas score will slip two places in overall ranking during the forecast period 8
Power MCI: As the Hong Kong economy continues to develop into a knowledge economy; competitive intensity will grow 9
Market Framework metrics show strong development over the forecast period 9
Effectiveness of regulator (2007 - 2/10, 2010 - 5/10) 9
Ease of third party access (2007- 2/10, 2010 - 5/10) 10
Effectiveness of balancing and data transfer (2007- 4/10, 2010 - 5.5/10) 10
Hong Kong has well developed trading for power but wholesale and retail competition is absent 10
Wholesale market fragmentation (2007 - 2.5/10, 2010 - 3/10) 10
Retail market fragmentation (2007 - 2.5/10, 2010 - 3/10) 10
Traded market maturity (2007 - 0/10, 2010 - 5/10) 10
Hong Kong has weak Consumer Pull metrics 10
Access to market information and assistance (2007- 2.5/10, 2010- 4.5/10) 10
Consumer representation (2007-2.5/10, 2010- 4.5/10) 11
Propensity to switch (2007- 1/10, 2010- 1.5/10) 11
Gas MCI: Hong Kong's gas market lacks significant competitive intensity across all metrics 12
Market Framework metrics remain weak across the board 12
Effectiveness of regulator (2007 - 2/10, 2010 - 3/10) 12
Ease of third party access (2007- 0/10, 2010 - 1/10) 13
Effectiveness of balancing and data transfer (2007- 1.5/10, 2010 - 2.5/10) 13
Supply Push metrics do not show any significant development over the forecast period 13
Wholesale market fragmentation (2007 - 2/10, 2010 - 2.5/10) 13
Retail market fragmentation (2007 - 2.5/10, 2010 - 3.5/10) 13
Traded market maturity (2007 -5 /10, 2010 - 5.5/10) 13
Current market structure leads to weak Customer Pull metrics 13
Access to market information and assistance (2007- 2/10, 2010- 3/10) 13
Consumer representation (2007-1.5/10, 2010- 2.5/10) 13
Propensity to switch (2007- 1/10, 2010- 1.5/10) 13
Outlook: Few new entrant commercial opportunities will develop in the Hong Kong energy sector in the near term 14
MCI Scores 15
APPENDIX 18
Definitions 18
Ask the analyst 23
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