Market Competitive Intensity (MCI): India

Datamonitor's MCI Index offers a robust framework for measuring the development of utility Market Competitive Intensity. The MCI assessment draws on nine underlying metrics grouped into three broad clusters: Market framework; Supplier Push; Customer Pull.

Report Highlights
MCI scores are calculated using two different methods. The first, the simple weighted average (additive) measure shows overall competitive intensity. The second, the multiplicative method, is more complex. It prevents markets with an overly wide spread of underlying raw scores from exerting undue influence over, or skewing, the final result. Liberalisation, energy pricing issues and environmental concerns will remain key drivers of gas and power market dynamics throughout the MCI forecast period.
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DATAMONITOR VIEW 1
CATALYST 1
SUMMARY 1
ANALYSIS 2
Introduction: Datamonitor's MCI Index offers a robust framework for measuring the development of energy Market Competitive Intensity 2
The MCI Index shows how attractive a particular market is to new entrants in terms of the competitive environment 3
The MCI assessment draws on nine underlying metrics grouped into three broad clusters: market framework, supplier push, customer pull 3
The MCI Index measures the development of 20 Asia Pacific gas and power markets 4
The MCI Index assesses markets in December 2007, and on July 1, 2010, in addition to driving a market switching forecast 4
Each of the nine pillars has an assessment scale to allow for the comparison of diverse markets (see appendix for more details) 5
Two differing overall MCI scores are calculated to ensure full clarity of results 5
A simple weighted average (additive) measure shows overall competitive intensity 5
A weighted multiple (multiplicative) measure shows overall competitive intensity 5
The MCI framework has a number of applications for your organization 6
Context: The maturity of India's energy markets puts them ahead of many others in the region 7
By 2010 all but one of India's power scores are in the upper half of the scoring scale 7
The Indian gas market shows a significant increase in its score over the forecast period 8
Power MCI: India's power score is supported by particularly strong Market Framework metrics 9
India's Market Framework scores remain strong at the end of the forecast period 9
Effectiveness of regulator (2007: 8/10, 2010: 8/10) 9
Ease of third party access (2007: 5.5/10, 2010: 7/10) 10
Effectiveness of balancing and data transfer (2007: 5.5/10, 2010: 8/10) 10
Wholesale and retail fragmentation scores support the Supplier Push metrics 10
Wholesale market fragmentation (2007: 7.5/10, 2010: 8/10) 10
Retail market fragmentation (2007: 8/10, 2010: 8/10) 10
Traded market maturity (2007: 3/10, 2010: 5/10) 10
Customer Pull metrics outperform those seen in many other parts of Asia 11
Access to market information and assistance (2007: 5/10, 2010: 6/10) 11
Consumer representation (2007: 3.5/10, 2010: 5/10) 11
Propensity to switch (2007: 2/10, 2010: 4/10) 11
Gas MCI: The Indian gas market continues its transition towards a more market driven structure 12
Although improving, India's gas Market Framework factors will remain modest 12
Effectiveness of regulator (2007: 3/10, 2010: 4/10) 12
Ease of third party access (2007: 2/10, 2010: 3.5/10) 13
Effectiveness of balancing and data transfer (2007: 2/10, 2010: 3.5/10) 13
Decreased wholesale fragmentation drive the Supplier Pull metrics higher over the forecast period 13
Wholesale market fragmentation (2007: 2.5/10, 2010: 5/10) 13
Retail market fragmentation (2007: 5/10, 2010: 6.5/10) 13
Traded market maturity (2007: 5 /10, 2010: 7/10) 13
Consumer Pull metrics remain weak 13
Access to market information and assistance (2007: 2/10, 2010: 3/10) 13
Consumer representation (2007: 2/10, 2010: 3/10) 14
Propensity to switch (2007: 1/10, 2010: 2.5/10) 14
Outlook: Power sector competitive intensity will continue to outstrip that seen in the gas sector 14
MCI scores 15
APPENDIX 18
Definitions 18
Ask the analyst 23
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Table 1: Market Competitive Intensity, India 2007-10 15
Table 2: MCI additive, Asia Pacific 2007-2010 16
Table 3: MCI multiplicative, Asia Pacific 2007-2010 17
Figure 1: MCI assessment scale 3
Figure 2: MCI assessment framework 3
Figure 3: MCI market coverage 4
Figure 4: MCI scales 5
Figure 5: MCI applications 6
Figure 6: Asia Pacific power Market Competitive Intensity, 2007-10 7
Figure 7: Asia Pacific gas Market Competitive Intensity, 2007-10 8
Figure 8: Power Market Competitive Intensity Index, India 9
Figure 9: Gas Market Competitive Intensity, India 12
Figure 10: Market Competitive Intensity, India 14
Figure 11: Scale for MCI assessment, effectiveness of regulator 18
Figure 12: Scale for MCI assessment, ease of third party access 19
Figure 13: Scale for MCI assessment, effectiveness of balancing and data transfer 19
Figure 14: Scale for MCI assessment, wholesale market fragmentation 20
Figure 15: Scale for MCI assessment, retail market fragmentation 20
Figure 16: Scale for MCI assessment, traded market maturity 21
Figure 17: Scale for MCI assessment, access to market information and assistance 21
Figure 18: Scale for MCI assessment, consumer representation 22
Figure 19: Scale for MCI assessment, propensity to switch 22
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