Market Competitive Intensity (MCI): Slovenia

Datamonitor's Market Competitive Intensity Index (MCI) is a robust framework for measuring and benchmarking the development of competitiveness and market conditions in a range of gas and electricty markets. The MCI assessment draws on nine underlying metrics grouped into three broad clusters: Market framework; Supplier Push and Customer Pull.

Report Highlights
Datamonitor's MCI Index offers a robust framework for measuring the development of utility Market Competitive Intensity. MCI scores are calculated using two different methods. The first, the simple weighted average (additive) measure shows overall competitive intensity. The second, the multipliative method, is more complex. It prevents markets with an overly wide spread of underlying raw scores from exerting undue influence over, or skewing, the final result.
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DATAMONITOR VIEW 1
CATALYST 1
SUMMARY 1
ANALYSIS 2
Introduction: Datamonitor's MCI Index offers a robust framework for measuring the development of energy Market Competitive Intensity 2
The MCI Index shows how attractive a particular market is to new entrants in terms of the competitive environment 2
The MCI assessment draws on nine underlying metrics grouped into three broad clusters: Market framework; Supplier Push; Customer Pull. 3
The MCI Index measures competitive intensity in the EU 27 and 6 related markets 4
The MCI Index assesses markets as they stood in early 2008 and forecasts conditions likely to be prevailing three years after full market opening 4
The MCI Index offers an assessment of competitive intensity in January 2008 and a forecast for July 2010 - three years after full market opening took place in the EU states. 4
Each of the nine pillars has an assessment scale to allow for the comparison of diverse markets (see appendix for more details) 5
Two differing overall MCI scores are calculated to ensure full clarity of results 5
A simple weighted average (additive) measure shows overall competitive intensity 5
A weighted multiple (multiplicative) measure shows overall competitive intensity 5
The MCI framework has a number of applications for your organization 6
Context: Slovenia's power market leads its gas counterpart in terms of competitive intensity 7
Although low, Slovenia's power market competitive intensity is ahead of that seen in other more developed Central and Eastern European economies 7
With only a small increase in the metrics, gas market competitive intensity in Slovenia remains modest 7
Power MCI: Slovenia's power score benefits from relatively strong Market Framework factors 9
Slovenia's Market Framework metrics remain fixed around the middle of the scoring scale 9
Effectiveness of Regulator [2008: 5/10 2010: 7.5/10] 9
Ease of Third Party Access [2008: 7.5/10 2010: 8.5/10] 10
Effectiveness of Balancing and Data Transfer [2008: 5.5/10 2010: 6/10] 10
Slovenia's Supplier Push metrics will remain modest in the near term future 10
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2008: 3/10 2010: 3.5/10] 10
Retail Market Fragmentation [2008: 6/10 2010: 6.5/10] 10
Traded Market Maturity [2008: 2.5/10 2010: 3.5/10] 10
Little development in the Customer Pull metrics is discernable by 2010 10
Access to Market Information and Assistance [2008: 5/10 2010: 5.5/10] 10
Consumer Representation [2008: 3/10 2010: 4/10] 11
Propensity to Switch [2008: 2.5/10 2010: 3.5/10] 11
Gas MCI: Slovenia's gas score is largely driven by the Market Framework factors metric 12
Slovenia's Market Framework scores are surprisingly high given the limited size of its gas market 12
Effectiveness of Regulator [2008: 7.5/10 2010: 8/10] 12
Ease of Third Party Access [2008: 5.5/10 2010: 6/10] 13
Effectiveness of Balancing and Data Transfer [2008: 4.5/10 2010: 5/10] 13
Slovenia's Supplier Push metrics do not show any meaningful degree of development over the forecast period 13
Wholesale Market Fragmentation [2008: 0/10 2010: /10] 13
Retail Market Fragmentation [2008: 1/10 2010: 1.5/10] 13
Traded Market Maturity [2008: 0/10 2010: 1/10] 13
All of the Customer Pull metrics remain at the bottom end of the scale during the forecast period 14
Access to Market Information and Assistance [2008: 1/10 2010: 1.5/10] 14
Consumer Representation [2008: 2/10 2010: 2.5/10] 14
Propensity to Switch [2008: 2.5/10 2010: 3/10] 14
Outlook: The dominance of Geoplin mean than greater commercial opportunities exist in the Slovenian power sector than in the gas sector 15
Slovenia's overall gas scores remain significantly lower than that seen in the electricity market 15
Power scores 15
Gas scores 15
Low switching rates and weak Customer Pull metrics limit opportunities in the Slovenian power market in the near term future 16
New Market Entrant Opportunities, Power 16
New Market Entrant Threats, Power 16
Despite strong demand growth potential, Slovenia's gas market opportunities remain modest owing to structural factors 16
New Market Entrant Opportunities, Gas 16
New Market Entrant Threats, Gas 16
MCI Scores 18
APPENDIX 21
Definitions 21
Ask the analyst 26
[Inhaltsverzeichnis ausblenden]

Table 1: Market Competitive Intensity, Slovenia 2008-10 18
Table 2: MCI Additive, Europe 2008-2010 19
Table 3: MCI Multiplicative, Europe 2008-2010 20
Figure 1: MCI Assessment Scale 2
Figure 2: MCI Assessment Framework 3
Figure 3: MCI Market Coverage 4
Figure 4: MCI Scales 5
Figure 5: MCI Applications 6
Figure 6: European Power Market Competitive Intensity, 2008-10 7
Figure 7: European Gas Market Competitive Intensity, 2008-10 8
Figure 8: Power Market Competitive Intensity, Slovenia 9
Figure 9: Gas Market Competitive Intensity, Slovenia 12
Figure 10: Market Competitive Intensity, Slovenia 15
Figure 11: Scale for MCI Assessment, Effectiveness of Regulator 21
Figure 12: Scale for MCI Assessment, Ease of Third Party Access 22
Figure 13: Scale for MCI Assessment, Effectiveness of Balancing and Data Transfer 22
Figure 14: Scale for MCI Assessment, Wholesale Market Fragmentation 23
Figure 15: Scale for MCI Assessment, Retail Market Fragmentation 23
Figure 16: Scale for MCI Assessment, Traded Market Maturity 24
Figure 17: Scale for MCI Assessment, Access to Market Information and Assistance 25
Figure 18: Scale for MCI Assessment, Consumer Representation 25
Figure 19: Scale for MCI Assessment, Propensity to Switch 26
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