TABLE OF CONTENTS
OVERVIEW 1
Catalyst 1
Summary 1
INTRODUCTION 5
Reasons to purchase 5
MOBILE MARKET ANALYSIS 9
Market overview to 2015 9
REVENUE FORECAST 11
Revenue forecast by service to 2015 11
Voice service revenue forecast to 2015 15
Data service revenue forecast to 2015 17
CONNECTIONS FORECAST 19
Connection overview to 2015 19
Connections by technology to 2015 21
3GPP technology forecast to 2015 23
3GPP2 technology forecast to 2015 25
GEOGRAPHICAL COMPARISON 27
Connections comparison by country to 2015 27
Revenue comparison by country to 2015 29
METHODOLOGY 31
Forecast process: mobile 31
Flowchart of forecast model: mobile 32
Global market scenario 33
APPENDIX 34
Further reading 34
Disclaimer 34
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Mobile market, US, connections (000s) and revenues ($m), 2009–15 9
Figure 2: Mobile market, US, revenue ($m) and ARPU ($), 2009–15 11
Figure 3: Mobile market, US, revenue by service ($m), 2009–15 13
Figure 4: Mobile voice service market, US, revenue ($m), 2009–15 15
Figure 5: Mobile data service market, US, revenue ($m), 2009–15 17
Figure 6: Mobile market, US, total connections and prepaid connections (000s), 2009–15 19
Figure 7: Mobile market, US, connections by technology (000s), 2009–15 21
Figure 8: Mobile market, US, connections with 3GPP technology (000s), 2009–15 23
Figure 9: Mobile market, US, 3GPP2 technology connections (000s), 2009–15 25
Figure 10: Mobile market, global and the US, comparison by connections (%), 2009 27
Figure 11: Mobile market, global and the US, comparison by revenue (%), 2009 29
Figure 12: Flowchart of forecast model for mobile market 32
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Definitions: totals 6
Table 2: Definitions: voice 7
Table 3: Definitions: data 7
Table 4: Definitions: technology split 8
Table 5: Mobile market, US, connections (000s) and revenue ($m), 2009–15 10
Table 6: Mobile market, US, revenue ($m) and ARPU ($), 2009–15 12
Table 7: Mobile market, US, revenue by service ($m), 2009–15 14
Table 8: Mobile voice service market, US, revenue ($m) and outgoing minutes of use (millions) , 2009–15 16
Table 9: Mobile data service market, US, revenue ($m) and ARPU ($) , 2009–15 18
Table 10: Mobile market, US, total connections (000s), penetration (%) and prepaid connections (000s), 2009–15 20
Table 11: Mobile market, US, connections by technology (000s), 2009–15 22
Table 12: Mobile market, US, connections with 3GPP technology (000s), 2009–15 24
Table 13: Mobile market, US, 3GPP2 technology connections (000s), 2009–15 26
Table 14: Mobile market, global and the US, comparison by connections (000s), 2009–15 28
Table 15: Mobile market, global and the US, comparison by revenue ($m), 2009–15 30
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