Since Q108, we have described numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries surveyed by BMI. We do this through our Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER), a measure that ensures we capture the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment Rating, which is likewise now a feature of our insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former and 30% to the latter.
The evaluation of the Limits of Potential Returns includes market elements that are specific to the banking industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of the CBBER that takes into account the Limits of Potential Returns, the market elements have a 60% weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the Risks to Realisation of Returns also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMI’s assessment of long-term country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that takes into account the risks these elements are weighted 40% and 60% respectively.
Further details on how we calculate the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general, though, three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements of the Limits of Potential Returns are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher than the country elements of the Limits of Potential Returns, it usually implies that the banking sector is (very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the Risks to Realisation of Returns category, the market elements (ie: how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect competition within it and the Moody’s ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from BMI’s long-term risk rating.

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Executive Summary 5
Table: Levels (KRWbn) 5
Table: Levels (US$bn) 5
Table: Levels At December 2010 5
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections, 2011-2015 (%) 6
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2011 6
Table: Projected Levels (KRWbn). 6
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn) 7
SWOT Analysis 8
South Korea Commercial Banking SWOT 8
South Korea Political SWOT 8
South Korea Economic SWOT 9
South Korea Business Environment SWOT 10
Business Environment Outlook 11
Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 11
Table: South Korea’s Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating 11
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology 12
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 13
Global Commercial Banking Outlook 14
Asia Banking Sector Outlook 18
Table: Banks’ Bond Portfolios 23
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 24
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios 25
Table: Anticipated Developments In 2011 26
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits , 2009-2010(US$bn) 27
Table: Comparison Of Per Capita Deposits, 2010 (US$) 28
Table: Interbank Rates And Bond Yields 29
South Korea Banking Sector Outlook 30
Economic Outlook 34
Table: South Korea Economic Activity, 2008-2015 36
Competitive Landscape 37
Market Structure 37
Protagonists 37
Table: Protagonists In South Korea Commercial Banking Sector 37
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 38
List Of Banks 39
Table: Korea Federation Of Banks Members 39
Company Profiles 41
Shinhan Bank 41
Table: Stock Market Indicators 42
Table: Balance Sheet (KRWmn, unless stated) 43
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 43
Table: Key Ratios (%) 43
Woori Bank 44
Table: Stock Market Indicators 45
Table: Balance Sheet (KRWmn, unless stated) 45
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 46
Table: Key Ratios (%) 46
Hana Bank 47
Table: Key Statistics For Hana Bank, 2008-2010 (KRWmn) 48
Korea Development Bank 49
Table: Balance Sheet (KRWmn) 50
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn) 50
Table: Key Ratios (%) 50
Industrial Bank of Korea 51
Table: Stock Market Indicators 52
Table: Balance Sheet (KRWmn, unless stated) 52
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 53
Table: Key Ratios (%) 53
KB Kookmin Bank 54
Table: Stock Market Indicators 55
Table: Balance Sheet (KRWmn, unless stated) 55
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 56
Table: Key Ratios (%) 56
Korea Exchange Bank 57
Table: Stock Market Indicators 58
Table: Balance Sheet (KRWmn, unless stated) 58
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 58
Table: Key Ratios (%) 59
Busan Bank 60
Table: Stock Market Indicators 61
Table: Balance Sheet (KRWmn, unless stated) 61
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 61
Table: Key Ratios (%) 62
Daegu Bank 63
Table: Stock Market Indicators 63
Table: Balance Sheet (KRWmn, unless stated) 64
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 64
Table: Key Ratios (%) 64
BMI Banking Sector Methodology 65
Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating 66
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale. 67
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 68
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