Oil and Gas Supply - Africa and the Middle East

Introduction

Having witnessed in 2008 the first major signal that future conventional oil and gas supplies will become much harder to find and more expensive to develop, Datamonitor is publishing a range of onshore and offshore oil and gas production forecasts set against a backdrop of consumption and trade forecasts across the Middle East and Africa.

Scope

*Insight on oil and gas production trends in the producing regions across the Middle East and Africa, along with 10 year production forecasts.

*Forecasts of oil and gas consumption in specific countries across the region.

*An evaluation of likely future oil and gas trade patterns and export capabilities.

*Understanding of the changing nature of production capability in specific markets and how this will change over time.

Highlights

Algria has large non-associated gas reserves including the giant Hassi R'Mel field, along with associated gas output. Gas production is projected to expand rapidly as new markets are exploited in southern Europe, although growth is likely to flatten off towards the end of the decade.

Angolan oil supply, at first largely from shallow waters off the coast of Cabinda, would have peaked in the late 1990s had it not been for the huge deep water potential recognized in the mid-1990s. This led to significant expansion in oil output and continued growth is forecast up to 2017 after a brief decline in 2009 because of OPEC obligations.

Nigerian oil consumption declined after 2005 but is now increasing slowly while exports have been flat. Exports are expected to grow from 2010, reaching a peak in 2013. Gas consumption is increasing as the country attempts to make more use of its produced and wasted gas volumes.

Reasons to Purchase

*Gain understanding of which markets will see increased production levels over the next decade.

*Identify potential commercial opportunities through an understanding of changing demand and supply dynamics in specific markets.

*Analyse the changing balance between on and offshore production.


Report Highlights

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Overview 1
Catalyst 1
Content summary 1
Segmentation 2
Executive Summary 3
Introduction 3
Supply pressures 3
Price spikes 4
Outlook in 2010 and beyond 5
Table of Contents 7
Table of figures 8
Table of tables 9
AFRICA AND THE MIDDLE EAST 10
Africa 10
Algeria 10
Supply 10
Demand 10
Algeria - figures 12
Angola 16
Supply 16
Demand 16
Angola - figures 18
Benin 22
Supply 22
Demand 22
Benin - figures 24
Cameroon 28
Supply 28
Demand 28
Cameroon - figures 30
Chad 34
Supply 34
Demand 34
Chad - figures 36
Congo (Brazzaville) 40
Supply 40
Demand 40
Congo (Brazzaville) - figures 42
Congo (Kinshasa) 46
Supply 46
Demand 46
Congo (Kinshasa) - figures 48
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast) 52
Supply 52
Demand 52
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast) - figures 54
Egypt 58
Supply 58
Demand 58
Egypt - figures 60
Equatorial Guinea 64
Supply 64
Demand 64
Equatorial Guinea - figures 66
Gabon 70
Supply 70
Demand 70
Gabon - figures 72
Ghana 76
Supply 76
Demand 76
Ghana - figures 78
Libya 82
Supply 82
Demand 82
Libya - figures 84
Madagascar 88
Supply 88
Demand 88
Madagascar - figures 90
Mauritania 94
Supply 94
Demand 94
Mauritania - figures 96
Morocco 100
Supply 100
Demand 100
Morocco - figures 102
Mozambique 106
Supply 106
Demand 106
Mozambique - figures 108
Namibia 112
Supply 112
Demand 112
Namibia - figures 114
Nigeria 118
Supply 118
Demand 118
Nigeria - figures 120
Sao tome and Principe 124
Supply 124
Demand 124
S?o Tomé and Princípe - figures 126
Senegal 130
Supply 130
Demand 130
Senegal - figures 132
Sierra Leone 136
Supply 136
Demand 136
Sierra Leone - figures 138
South Africa 142
Supply 142
Demand 142
South Africa - figures 144
Sudan 148
Supply 148
Demand 148
Sudan - figures 150
Tanzania 154
Supply 154
Demand 154
Tanzania - figures 156
Tunisia 160
Supply 160
Demand 160
Tunisia - figures 162
Uganda 166
Supply 166
Demand 166
Uganda - figures 168
Middle East 172
Bahrain 172
Supply 172
Demand 172
Bahrain - figures 174
Iran 178
Supply 178
Demand 178
Iran - figures 180
Iraq 184
Supply 184
Demand 184
Iraq - figures 186
Israel (including Palestine) 190
Supply 190
Demand 190
Israel/Palestine - figures 192
Jordan 196
Supply 196
Demand 196
Jordan - figures 198
Kuwait 202
Supply 202
Demand 202
Kuwait - figures 204
Oman 208
Supply 208
Demand 208
Oman - figures 210
Qatar 214
Supply 214
Demand 214
Qatar - figures 216
Saudi Arabia 220
Supply 220
Demand 220
Saudi Arabia - figures 222
Syria 226
Supply 226
Demand 226
Syria - figures 228
United Arab Emirates 232
Supply 232
Demand 232
United Arab Emirates - figures 234
Yemen 238
Supply 238
Demand 238
Yemen - figures 240
APPENDIX 244
Glossary 244
Introduction 244
Oil 244
Gas 245
Natural gas liquids 245
Offshore and onshore production 245
Shallow and deep waters 246
Cumulative production 246
Remaining production 246
YTD/YTF production 247
Consumption 247
Trade balances 247
Units 247
Methodology 248
Introduction 248
Data sources 249
Detailed description 249
Production profiles 249
Past (historical) production profiles 250
Remaining recoverable resources profiles 250
'Reserves growth' profiles 252
YTF and YTD resource profiles 252
Special events 253
New technology and supply 254
Ask the analyst 254
Datamonitor consulting 254
Disclaimer 255
List of Tables
Table 1: Algeria production 11
Table 2: Algeria consumption 11
Table 3: Angola production 16
Table 4: Angola consumption 17
Table 5: Benin production 22
Table 6: Benin consumption 23
Table 7: Cameroon production 29
Table 8: Cameroon consumption 29
Table 9: Chad production 34
Table 10: Chad consumption 35
Table 11: Congo (Brazzaville) production 40
Table 12: Congo (Brazzaville) consumption 41
Table 13: Congo (Kinshasa) production 46
Table 14: Congo (Kinshasa) consumption 47
Table 15: Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast) production 52
Table 16: Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast) consumption 53
Table 17: Egypt production 58
Table 18: Egypt consumption 59
Table 19: Equatorial Guinea production 64
Table 20: Equatorial Guinea consumption 65
Table 21: Gabon production 70
Table 22: Gabon consumption 71
Table 23: Ghana production 76
Table 24: Ghana consumption 77
Table 25: Libya production 82
Table 26: Libya consumption 83
Table 27: Madagascar production 88
Table 28: Madagascar consumption 89
Table 29: Mauritania production 94
Table 30: Mauritania consumption 95
Table 31: Morocco production 100
Table 32: Morocco consumption 101
Table 33: Mozambique production 106
Table 34: Mozambique consumption 107
Table 35: Namibia production 112
Table 36: Namibia consumption 113
Table 37: Nigeria production 118
Table 38: Nigeria consumption 119
Table 39: S?o Tomé and Princípe production 124
Table 40: S?o Tomé and Princípe consumption 125
Table 41: Senegal production 130
Table 42: Senegal consumption 131
Table 43: Sierra Leone production 136
Table 44: Sierra Leone consumption 137
Table 45: South Africa production 142
Table 46: South Africa consumption 143
Table 47: Sudan production 148
Table 48: Sudan consumption 149
Table 49: Tanzania production 154
Table 50: Tanzania consumption 155
Table 51: Tunisia production 160
Table 52: Tunisia consumption 161
Table 53: Uganda production 166
Table 54: Uganda consumption 167
Table 55: Bahrain production 172
Table 56: Bahrain consumption 173
Table 57: Iran production 178
Table 58: Iran consumption 179
Table 59: Iraq production 184
Table 60: Iraq consumption 185
Table 61: Israel/Palestine production 190
Table 62: Israel/Palestine consumption 191
Table 63: Jordan production 196
Table 64: Jordan consumption 197
Table 65: Kuwait production 202
Table 66: Kuwait consumption 203
Table 67: Oman production 208
Table 68: Oman consumption 209
Table 69: Qatar production 214
Table 70: Qatar consumption 215
Table 71: Saudi Arabia production 221
Table 72: Saudi Arabia consumption 221
Table 73: Syria production 226
Table 74: Syria consumption 227
Table 75: UAE production 232
Table 76: UAE consumption 233
Table 77: Yemen production 238
Table 78: Yemen consumption 239
List of Figures
Figure 1: Algeria oil production forecast 12
Figure 2: Algeria gas production forecast 13
Figure 3: Algeria oil and gas consumption forecast 14
Figure 4: Algeria oil and gas trade balance 15
Figure 5: Angola oil production forecast 18
Figure 6: Angola gas production forecast 19
Figure 7: Angola oil and gas consumption forecast 20
Figure 8: Angola oil and gas trade balance 21
Figure 9: Benin oil production forecast 24
Figure 10: Benin gas production forecast 25
Figure 11: Benin oil and gas consumption forecast 26
Figure 12: Benin oil and gas trade balance 27
Figure 13: Cameroon oil production forecast 30
Figure 14: Cameroon gas production forecast 31
Figure 15: Cameroon oil and gas consumption forecast 32
Figure 16: Cameroon oil and gas trade balance 33
Figure 17: Chad oil production forecast 36
Figure 18: Chad gas production forecast 37
Figure 19: Chad oil and gas consumption forecast 38
Figure 20: Chad oil and gas trade balance 39
Figure 21: Congo (Brazzaville) oil production forecast 42
Figure 22: Congo (Brazzaville) gas production forecast 43
Figure 23: Congo (Brazzaville) oil and gas consumption forecast 44
Figure 24: Congo (Brazzaville) oil and gas trade balance 45
Figure 25: Congo (Kinshasa) oil production forecast 48
Figure 26: Congo (Kinshasa) gas production forecast 49
Figure 27: Congo (Kinshasa) oil and gas consumption forecast 50
Figure 28: Congo (Kinshasa) oil and gas trade balance 51
Figure 29: Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast) oil production forecast 54
Figure 30: Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast) gas production forecast 55
Figure 31: Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast) oil and gas consumption forecast 56
Figure 32: Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast) oil and gas trade balance 57
Figure 33: Egypt oil production forecast 60
Figure 34: Egypt gas production forecast 61
Figure 35: Egypt oil and gas consumption forecast 62
Figure 36: Egypt oil and gas trade balance 63
Figure 37: Equatorial Guinea oil production forecast 66
Figure 38: Equatorial Guinea gas production forecast 67
Figure 39: Equatorial Guinea oil and gas consumption forecast 68
Figure 40: Equatorial Guinea oil and gas trade balance 69
Figure 41: Gabon oil production forecast 72
Figure 42: Gabon gas production forecast 73
Figure 43: Gabon oil and gas consumption forecast 74
Figure 44: Gabon oil and gas trade balance 75
Figure 45: Ghana oil production forecast 78
Figure 46: Ghana gas production forecast 79
Figure 47: Ghana oil and gas consumption forecast 80
Figure 48: Ghana oil and gas trade balance 81
Figure 49: Libya oil production forecast 84
Figure 50: Libya gas production forecast 85
Figure 51: Libya oil and gas consumption forecast 86
Figure 52: Libya oil and gas trade balance 87
Figure 53: Madagascar oil production forecast 90
Figure 54: Madagascar gas production forecast 91
Figure 55: Madagascar oil and gas consumption forecast 92
Figure 56: Madagascar oil and gas trade balance 93
Figure 57: Mauritania oil production forecast 96
Figure 58: Mauritania gas production forecast 97
Figure 59: Mauritania oil and gas consumption forecast 98
Figure 60: Mauritania oil and gas trade balance 99
Figure 61: Morocco oil production forecast 102
Figure 62: Morocco gas production forecast 103
Figure 63: Morocco oil and gas consumption forecast 104
Figure 64: Morocco oil and gas trade balance 105
Figure 65: Mozambique oil production forecast 108
Figure 66: Mozambique gas production forecast 109
Figure 67: Mozambique oil and gas consumption forecast 110
Figure 68: Mozambique oil and gas trade balance 111
Figure 69: Namibia oil production forecast 114
Figure 70: Namibia gas production forecast 115
Figure 71: Namibia oil and gas consumption forecast 116
Figure 72: Namibia oil and gas trade balance 117
Figure 73: Nigeria oil production forecast 120
Figure 74: Nigeria gas production forecast 121
Figure 75: Nigeria oil and gas consumption forecast 122
Figure 76: Nigeria oil and gas trade balance 123
Figure 77: S?o Tomé and Princípe oil production forecast 126
Figure 78: S?o Tomé and Princípe gas production forecast 127
Figure 79: S?o Tomé and Princípe oil and gas consumption forecast 128
Figure 80: S?o Tomé and Princípe oil and gas trade balance 129
Figure 81: Senegal oil production forecast 132
Figure 82: Senegal gas production forecast 133
Figure 83: Senegal oil and gas consumption forecast 134
Figure 84: Senegal oil and gas trade balance 135
Figure 85: Sierra Leone oil production forecast 138
Figure 86: Sierra Leone gas production forecast 139
Figure 87: Sierra Leone oil and gas consumption forecast 140
Figure 88: Sierra Leone oil and gas trade balance 141
Figure 89: South Africa oil production forecast 144
Figure 90: South Africa gas production forecast 145
Figure 91: South Africa oil and gas consumption forecast 146
Figure 92: South Africa oil and gas trade balance 147
Figure 93: Sudan oil production forecast 150
Figure 94: Sudan gas production forecast 151
Figure 95: Sudan oil and gas consumption forecast 152
Figure 96: Sudan oil and gas trade balance 153
Figure 97: Tanzania oil production forecast 156
Figure 98: Tanzania gas production forecast 157
Figure 99: Tanzania oil and gas consumption forecast 158
Figure 100: Tanzania oil and gas trade balance 159
Figure 101: Tunisia oil production forecast 162
Figure 102: Tunisia gas production forecast 163
Figure 103: Tunisia oil and gas consumption forecast 164
Figure 104: Tunisia oil and gas trade balance 165
Figure 105: Uganda oil production forecast 168
Figure 106: Uganda gas production forecast 169
Figure 107: Uganda oil and gas consumption forecast 170
Figure 108: Uganda oil and gas trade balance 171
Figure 109: Bahrain oil production forecast 174
Figure 110: Bahrain gas production forecast 175
Figure 111: Bahrain oil and gas consumption forecast 176
Figure 112: Bahrain oil and gas trade balance 177
Figure 113: Iran oil production forecast 180
Figure 114: Iran gas production forecast 181
Figure 115: Iran oil and gas consumption forecast 182
Figure 116: Iran oil and gas trade balance 183
Figure 117: Iraq oil production forecast 186
Figure 118: Iraq gas production forecast 187
Figure 119: Iraq oil and gas consumption forecast 188
Figure 120: Iraq oil and gas trade balance 189
Figure 121: Israel/Palestine oil production forecast 192
Figure 122: Israel/Palestine gas production forecast 193
Figure 123: Israel/Palestine oil and gas consumption forecast 194
Figure 124: Israel/Palestine oil and gas trade balance 195
Figure 125: Jordan oil production forecast 198
Figure 126: Jordan gas production forecast 199
Figure 127: Jordan oil and gas consumption forecast 200
Figure 128: Jordan oil and gas trade balance 201
Figure 129: Kuwait oil production forecast 204
Figure 130: Kuwait gas production forecast 205
Figure 131: Kuwait oil and gas consumption forecast 206
Figure 132: Kuwait oil and gas trade balance 207
Figure 133: Oman oil production forecast 210
Figure 134: Oman gas production forecast 211
Figure 135: Oman oil and gas consumption forecast 212
Figure 136: Oman oil and gas trade balance 213
Figure 137: Qatar oil production forecast 216
Figure 138: Qatar gas production forecast 217
Figure 139: Qatar oil and gas consumption forecast 218
Figure 140: Qatar oil and gas trade balance 219
Figure 141: Saudi Arabia oil production forecast 222
Figure 142: Saudi Arabia gas production forecast 223
Figure 143: Saudi Arabia oil and gas consumption forecast 224
Figure 144: Saudi Arabia oil and gas trade balance 225
Figure 145: Syria oil production forecast 228
Figure 146: Syria gas production forecast 229
Figure 147: Syria oil and gas consumption forecast 230
Figure 148: Syria oil and gas trade balance 231
Figure 149: UAE oil production forecast 234
Figure 150: UAE gas production forecast 235
Figure 151: UAE oil and gas consumption forecast 236
Figure 152: UAE oil and gas trade balance 237
Figure 153: Yemen oil production forecast 240
Figure 154: Yemen gas production forecast 241
Figure 155: Yemen oil and gas consumption forecast 242
Figure 156: Yemen oil and gas trade balance 243

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