BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 59 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2014 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.
Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.
Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.
The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Report Highlights

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Executive Summary 5
Table: Levels (TWDbn) 5
Table: Levels (US$bn) 5
Table: Levels At December 2009 5
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2010-2014 (%) 5
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2010 6
Table: Projected Levels (TWDbn) 6
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn) 6
SWOT Analysis 7
Taiwan Commercial Banking SWOT 7
Taiwan Political SWOT 8
Taiwan Economic SWOT 9
Taiwan Business Environment SWOT 10
Business Environment Outlook 11
Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 11
Table: Taiwan Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating 11
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology 12
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 13
Global Commercial Banking Outlook 14
Asia Banking Sector Outlook 17
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP Ratios 20
Table: Anticipated Developments In 2010 21
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn) 22
Table: Comparison Of US$ Per Capita Deposits (Late 2009) 23
Table: Interbank Rates & Bond Yields 24
Taiwan Banking Sector Outlook 25
Economic Outlook 28
Table: Taiwan Economic Activity, 2007-2014 30
Competitive Landscape 31
Market Structure 31
Protagonists 31
Table: Protagonists In Taiwan’s Commercial Banking Sector 31
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 32
List Of Banks 32
Table: Domestic Banks 32
Table: Foreign Bank Branches 34
Company Profiles 35
Bank of Taiwan 35
Table: Key Statistics For Bank of Taiwan, 2004-2009 (TWDmn) 36
Land Bank of Taiwan 37
Table: Key Statistics For Land Bank of Taiwan, 2004-2009 (TWDmn) 38
Taiwan Cooperative Bank 39
Table: Balance Sheet (TWDmn, unless stated) 40
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 40
Table: Key Ratios (%) 41
First Commercial Bank 42
Table: Key Statistics For First Commercial Bank, 2004-2008 (TWDmn) 43
Hua Nan Commercial Bank 44
Table: Key Statistics For Hua Nan Commercial Bank, 2003-2007 (TWDmn) 45
Chang Hwa Bank 46
Table: Stock Market Indicators 47
Table: Balance Sheet (TWDmn, unless stated) 47
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 48
Table: Key Ratios (%) 48
Taipei Fubon Bank 49
Table: Stock Market Indicators 50
BMI Banking Sector Methodology 51
Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating 52
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 53
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 54

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