Thailand Commercial Banking Report Q3 2010

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 59 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2014 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.
Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.
Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.
The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.


Report Highlights

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Executive Summary 5
Table: Levels (THBbn) 5
Table: Levels (US$bn) 5
Table: Levels At March 2010 5
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2010-2014 (%) 5
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2010 6
Table: Projected Levels (THBbn) 6
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn) 6
SWOT Analysis 7
Thailand Commercial Banking SWOT 7
Thailand Political SWOT 8
Thailand Economic SWOT 9
Thailand Business Environment SWOT 10
Business Environment Outlook 11
Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 11
Table: Thailand Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating 11
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology 12
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 13
Global Commercial Banking Outlook 14
Asia Banking Sector Outlook 17
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP Ratios 20
Table: Anticipated Developments In 2010 21
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn) 22
Table: Comparison Of US$ Per Capita Deposits (Late 2009) 23
Table: Interbank Rates & Bond Yields 24
Thailand Banking Sector Outlook 25
Economic Outlook 27
Table: Thailand Economic Activity, 2007-2014 29
Competitive Landscape 30
Market Structure 30
Protagonists 30
Table: Protagonists In Thailand’s Commercial Banking Sector 30
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 30
List of Banks 31
Table: Commercial Banks In Thailand 31
Table: Foreign Banks In Thailand 32
Company Profiles 33
Bangkok Bank 33
Table: Stock Market Indicators 34
Table: Balance Sheet (THBmn, unless stated) 34
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 35
Table: Key Ratios (%) 35
Kasikornbank 36
Table: Stock Market Indicators 37
Table: Balance Sheet (THBmn, unless stated) 38
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 38
Table: Key Ratios (%) 38
Krung Thai Bank 39
Table: Stock Market Indicators 40
Table: Balance Sheet (THBmn, unless stated) 40
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 40
Table: Key Ratios (%) 41
Bank of Ayudhya 42
Table: Stock Market Indicators 43
Table: Balance Sheet (THBmn, unless stated) 43
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 44
Table: Key Ratios (%) 44
CIMB Thai Bank 45
Table: Key Statistics For CIMB Thai Bank, 2004-2008 (THBmn) 46
TMB Bank 48
Table: Stock Market Indicators 51
Table: Balance Sheet (THBmn, unless stated) 51
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 52
Table: Key Ratios (%) 52
Siam Commercial Bank 53
Table: Stock Market Indicators 54
Table: Balance Sheet (THBmn, unless stated) 54
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 55
Table: Key Ratios (%) 55
Siam City Bank 56
Table: Stock Market Indicators 57
Table: Balance Sheet (THBmn, unless stated) 57
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 58
Table: Key Ratios (%) 58
BMI Banking Sector Methodology 59
Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating 60
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 62

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