Tobacco in Ukraine to 2013

Introduction

This databook provides key data and information on the tobacco market in Ukraine. This report is a comprehensive resource for market, category and segment level data including value, volume, distribution share and company & brand share. This report also provides expenditure and consumption data for the historic and forecast periods.

Report Highlights
Highlights

The market for tobacco in Ukraine increased at a compound annual growth rate of 4.3% between 2003 and 2008.

The cigarettes category led the tobacco market in Ukraine, accounting for a share of 98.6%.

The leading players in Ukrainian tobacco market include Philip Morris International, Japan Tobacco Inc. and British American Tobacco Plc.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Chapter 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2
Summary Market Level - Tobacco 2
Summary category level - Cigarettes 3
Summary category level - Cigars and cigarillos 4
Summary category level - Loose tobacco 5
Chapter 2 INTRODUCTION 6
What is this report about? 6
How to use this report 6
Market Definition 7
Chapter 3 MARKET OVERVIEW 20
Value Analysis, 2003?08 20
Value Analysis, 2008?13 21
Value Analysis, US$ 2003?08 23
Value Analysis, US$ 2008?13 23
Volume Analysis, 2003?08 24
Volume Analysis, 2008?13 25
Company and Brand Share Analysis 27
Distribution Analysis 31
Expenditure & consumption per capita 33
Chapter 4 LEADING COMPANY PROFILES 36
Philip Morris International Inc. 36
Japan Tobacco, Inc. 38
Chapter 5 CATEGORY ANALYSIS - CIGARETTES 40
Value Analysis, 2003?08 40
Value Analysis, 2008?13 41
Value Analysis, US$ 2003?08 43
Value Analysis, US$ 2008?13 43
Volume Analysis, 2003?08 45
Volume Analysis, 2008?13 46
Company and Brand Share Analysis 49
Distribution Analysis 52
Expenditure & consumption per capita 54
Chapter 6 CATEGORY ANALYSIS - CIGARS AND CIGARILLOS 57
Value Analysis, 2003?08 57
Value Analysis, 2008?13 58
Value Analysis, US$ 2003?08 60
Value Analysis, US$ 2008?13 60
Volume Analysis, 2003?08 62
Volume Analysis, 2008?13 63
Company and Brand Share Analysis 66
Distribution Analysis 68
Expenditure & consumption per capita 70
Chapter 7 CATEGORY ANALYSIS - LOOSE TOBACCO 73
Value Analysis, 2003?08 73
Value Analysis, 2008?13 74
Value Analysis, US$ 2003?08 76
Value Analysis, US$ 2008?13 76
Volume Analysis, 2003?08 78
Volume Analysis, 2008?13 79
Company and Brand Share Analysis 82
Distribution Analysis 84
Expenditure & consumption per capita 86
Chapter 8 COUNTRY COMPARISON 89
Value 89
Volume 94
Market Share 99
Chapter 9 NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT 100
Product launches over time 100
Recent product launches 102
Chapter 10 UKRAINE SOCIOECONOMIC PROFILE 103
Country Overview 103
Key Facts 105
Political Overview 106
Economic Overview 107
Chapter 11 UKRAINE MACROECONOMIC PROFILE 108
Macroeconomic Indicators 108
Chapter 12 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 113
Methodology overview 113
Secondary research 114
Market modeling 115
Primary research 116
Data finalization 117
Ongoing research 117
Chapter 13 APPENDIX 118
Future readings 118
How to contact experts in your industry 118
Disclaimer 118
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LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Ukraine tobacco value and value forecast, 2003?13 (UAH m, nominal prices) 22
Figure 2: Ukraine tobacco volume and volume forecast, 2003?13 (Kg/Pieces m) 26
Figure 3: Ukraine tobacco distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 32
Figure 4: Ukraine cigarettes value and value forecast, 2003?13 (UAH m, nominal prices) 42
Figure 5: Ukraine cigarettes category growth comparison, by value, 2003?13 44
Figure 6: Ukraine cigarettes volume and volume forecast, 2003?13 (Pieces m) 47
Figure 7: Ukraine cigarettes category growth comparison, by volume, 2003?13 48
Figure 8: Ukraine cigarettes distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 53
Figure 9: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos value and value forecast, 2003?13 (UAH m, nominal prices) 59
Figure 10: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos category growth comparison, by value, 2003?13 61
Figure 11: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos volume and volume forecast, 2003?13 (Pieces m) 64
Figure 12: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos category growth comparison, by volume, 2003?13 65
Figure 13: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 69
Figure 14: Ukraine loose tobacco value and value forecast, 2003?13 (UAH m, nominal prices) 75
Figure 15: Ukraine loose tobacco category growth comparison, by value, 2003?13 77
Figure 16: Ukraine loose tobacco volume and volume forecast, 2003?13 (Kg m) 80
Figure 17: Ukraine loose tobacco category growth comparison, by volume, 2003?13 81
Figure 18: Ukraine loose tobacco distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 85
Figure 19: Global tobacco market split (value terms, 2008) – Top 5 countries 90
Figure 20: Global tobacco market value, 2003–08 (Top 5 countries) 93
Figure 21: Global tobacco market split (volume terms, 2008) – Top 5 countries 95
Figure 22: Global tobacco market volume, 2003–08 (Top 5 countries) 98
Figure 23: Map of Ukraine 105
Figure 24: Annual data review process 114
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Tobacco category definitions 8
Table 2: Tobacco distribution channels 9
Table 3: Ukraine tobacco value, 2003?08 (UAH m, nominal prices) 20
Table 4: Ukraine tobacco value forecast, 2008?13 (UAH m, nominal prices) 21
Table 5: Ukraine tobacco value, 2003?08 (US$ m nominal prices) 23
Table 6: Ukraine tobacco value forecast, 2008?13 (US$ m nominal prices) 23
Table 7: Ukraine tobacco volume, 2003?08 (Kg/Pieces m) 24
Table 8: Ukraine tobacco volume forecast, 2008?13 (Kg/Pieces m) 25
Table 9: Ukraine tobacco brand share, by value, 2007?08 (%) 27
Table 10: Ukraine tobacco value, by brand 2007?08 (UAH m nominal prices) 28
Table 11: Ukraine tobacco company share by value, 2007?08 (%) 29
Table 12: Ukraine tobacco value, by company, 2007?08 (UAH m nominal prices) 30
Table 13: Ukraine tobacco distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 31
Table 14: Ukraine tobacco value, by distribution channel, 2007?08 (UAH m nominal prices) 31
Table 15: Ukraine tobacco expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (UAH, nominal prices) 33
Table 16: Ukraine tobacco forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (UAH, nominal prices) 33
Table 17: Ukraine tobacco expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (US$ nominal prices) 34
Table 18: Ukraine tobacco forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (US$ nominal prices) 34
Table 19: Ukraine tobacco consumption per capita, 2003?08 (Kg/Pieces) 35
Table 20: Ukraine tobacco forecast consumption per capita, 2008?13 (Kg/Pieces) 35
Table 21: Philip Morris International Inc. Key Facts 36
Table 22: Japan Tobacco, Inc. Key Facts 38
Table 23: Ukraine cigarettes value, 2003?08 (UAH m, nominal prices) 40
Table 24: Ukraine cigarettes value forecast, 2008?13 (UAH m, nominal prices) 41
Table 25: Ukraine cigarettes value, 2003?08 (US$ m nominal prices) 43
Table 26: Ukraine cigarettes value forecast, 2008?13 (US$ m nominal prices) 43
Table 27: Ukraine cigarettes volume, 2003?08 (Pieces m) 45
Table 28: Ukraine cigarettes volume forecast, 2008?13 (Pieces m) 46
Table 29: Ukraine cigarettes brand share, by value, 2007?08 (%) 49
Table 30: Ukraine cigarettes value, by brand 2007?08 (UAH m nominal prices) 50
Table 31: Ukraine cigarettes company share by value, 2007?08 (%) 51
Table 32: Ukraine cigarettes value, by company, 2007?08 (UAH m nominal prices) 51
Table 33: Ukraine cigarettes distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 52
Table 34: Ukraine cigarettes value, by distribution channel, 2007?08 (UAH m nominal prices) 52
Table 35: Ukraine cigarettes expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (UAH, nominal prices) 54
Table 36: Ukraine cigarettes forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (UAH, nominal prices) 54
Table 37: Ukraine cigarettes expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (US$ nominal prices) 55
Table 38: Ukraine cigarettes forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (US$ nominal prices) 55
Table 39: Ukraine cigarettes consumption per capita, 2003?08 (Pieces) 56
Table 40: Ukraine cigarettes forecast consumption per capita, 2008?13 (Pieces) 56
Table 41: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos value, 2003?08 (UAH m, nominal prices) 57
Table 42: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos value forecast, 2008?13 (UAH m, nominal prices) 58
Table 43: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos value, 2003?08 (US$ m nominal prices) 60
Table 44: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos value forecast, 2008?13 (US$ m nominal prices) 60
Table 45: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos volume, 2003?08 (Pieces m) 62
Table 46: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos volume forecast, 2008?13 (Pieces m) 63
Table 47: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos brand share, by value, 2007?08 (%) 66
Table 48: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos value, by brand 2007?08 (UAH m nominal prices) 66
Table 49: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos company share by value, 2007?08 (%) 67
Table 50: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos value, by company, 2007?08 (UAH m nominal prices) 67
Table 51: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 68
Table 52: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos value, by distribution channel, 2007?08 (UAH m nominal prices) 68
Table 53: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (UAH, nominal prices) 70
Table 54: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (UAH, nominal prices) 70
Table 55: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (US$ nominal prices) 71
Table 56: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (US$ nominal prices) 71
Table 57: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos consumption per capita, 2003?08 (Pieces) 72
Table 58: Ukraine cigars and cigarillos forecast consumption per capita, 2008?13 (Pieces) 72
Table 59: Ukraine loose tobacco value, 2003?08 (UAH m, nominal prices) 73
Table 60: Ukraine loose tobacco value forecast, 2008?13 (UAH m, nominal prices) 74
Table 61: Ukraine loose tobacco value, 2003?08 (US$ m nominal prices) 76
Table 62: Ukraine loose tobacco value forecast, 2008?13 (US$ m nominal prices) 76
Table 63: Ukraine loose tobacco volume, 2003?08 (Kg m) 78
Table 64: Ukraine loose tobacco volume forecast, 2008?13 (Kg m) 79
Table 65: Ukraine loose tobacco brand share, by value, 2007?08 (%) 82
Table 66: Ukraine loose tobacco value, by brand 2007?08 (UAH m nominal prices) 82
Table 67: Ukraine loose tobacco company share by value, 2007?08 (%) 83
Table 68: Ukraine loose tobacco value, by company, 2007?08 (UAH m nominal prices) 83
Table 69: Ukraine loose tobacco distribution channels, by value, 2007?08 (%) 84
Table 70: Ukraine loose tobacco value, by distribution channel, 2007?08 (UAH m nominal prices) 84
Table 71: Ukraine loose tobacco expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (UAH, nominal prices) 86
Table 72: Ukraine loose tobacco forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (UAH, nominal prices) 86
Table 73: Ukraine loose tobacco expenditure per capita, 2003?08 (US$ nominal prices) 87
Table 74: Ukraine loose tobacco forecast expenditure per capita, 2008?13 (US$ nominal prices) 87
Table 75: Ukraine loose tobacco consumption per capita, 2003?08 (Kg) 88
Table 76: Ukraine loose tobacco forecast consumption per capita, 2008?13 (Kg) 88
Table 77: Global tobacco market value, 2008 89
Table 78: Global tobacco market split (value terms (US$ m), 2008) – Top 5 countries 92
Table 79: Global tobacco market volume, 2008 94
Table 80: Global tobacco market split (volume terms, 2008) – Top 5 countries 97
Table 81: Leading players - Top 5 countries 99
Table 82: Ukraine tobacco new product launches reports, by company (Top 5 companies), 2008 100
Table 83: Ukraine tobacco new product launches SKUs, by company (Top 5 companies), 2008 100
Table 84: Ukraine tobacco new product launches (reports), by flavor and fragrances 2008 101
Table 85: Ukraine tobacco new product launches (reports), by Ingredients 2008 101
Table 86: Ukraine tobacco new product launches (reports), by Package tags or Claims 2008 102
Table 87: Ukraine tobacco new product launches (reports) - Recent 5 launches (2008) 102
Table 88: Ukraine Key Facts 105
Table 89: Ukraine population, by age group, 2003?08 (millions) 108
Table 90: Ukraine population forecast, by age group, 2008?13 (millions) 109
Table 91: Ukraine population, by gender, 2003?08 (millions) 109
Table 92: Ukraine population forecast, by gender, 2008?13 (millions) 110
Table 93: Ukraine nominal GDP, 2003?08 (UAH bn, nominal prices) 110
Table 94: Ukraine nominal GDP forecast, 2008?13 (UAH bn, nominal prices) 110
Table 95: Ukraine real GDP, 2003?08 (UAH bn, 2000 prices) 111
Table 96: Ukraine real GDP forecast, 2008?13 (UAH bn, 2000 prices) 111
Table 97: Ukraine real GDP, 2003?08 (US$ bn, 2000 prices) 111
Table 98: Ukraine real GDP forecast, 2008?13 (US$ bn, 2000 prices) 112
Table 99: Ukraine consumer price index, 2003?08 (2000=100) 112
Table 100: Ukraine consumer price index, 2008?13 (2000=100) 112
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