CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 4
Scope of the report 4
Key findings 4
CHAPTER 2 INTRODUCTION TO PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT 10
Pharma industry is facing a range of challenges impacting portfolio management 11
Pharmaceutical R&D productivity is declining 12
Regulatory approval criteria are becoming more stringent 13
Cost-containment pressures are increasing 13
Shorter drug lifecycles 14
R&D versus marketed product portfolio management 17
R&D portfolio management 17
Marketed products portfolio management 19
Fit between R&D and marketed product portfolios is important 21
Portfolio fit with long-term company strategy 22
CHAPTER 3 TRENDS IN PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT 25
Trends in portfolio offerings 26
More for physicians 27
Case study: Astellas - bridging its transplant and antifungal portfolios 27
Best for patients 29
Case study: Shire's ADHD portfolio 30
More for patients 32
Case study: GlaxoSmithKline - providing more for HIV patients through fixed dose combinations 32
More for payers 34
Generic portfolio management 34
Offering both branded and generic drugs 35
Adding value through additional services 36
Case study: Pfizer's endocrine care portfolio 37
Case study: Roche's hepatitis C franchise 38
Niche specialty drugs vs primary care blockbusters 40
Diagnostics are playing a greater role 42
Who will focus on primary care markets? 43
Balancing the risk - multisource portfolio management 45
Business development and licensing versus in-house new product development 47
Sourcing drugs from partners 47
Case study: Roche - a multi-source oncology portfolio 49
Opportunistic portfolio management 52
Novartis increased presence in multiple sclerosis by acquiring marketed drugs in anticipation of new product launch 52
Portfolio revision through early dialogue with payers 54
CHAPTER 4 CASE STUDIES OF RECENT PORTOFOLIO MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES 55
Portfolio challenging scenarios - what to do when disaster strikes 56
Late-stage failure or market withdrawal 57
Safety event damages brand reputation 57
Patent expiry 58
Intensify lifecycle management activities 58
Replenish portfolio through in-licensing and co-marketing agreements or lifecycle management with a partner 60
Exit and move into a different area 62
Pfizer's failure to replace sales lost when Lipitor goes off-patent will ruin its mid-term performance - can anything still be done? 63
Torcetrapib failure and Exubera withdrawal caused further damage to Pfizer's future revenue prospects 63
Pfizer responded by entering licensing agreements and acquisitions... 65
...but its launch portfolio is still looking thin 70
Too little, too late? 71
Has the company missed out on biologics? 72
Eli Lilly - growing its diabetes franchise through partnerships with smaller players 73
Eli Lilly's collaboration with Amylin proves to be fruitful 75
A varied diabetes pipeline 76
Eli Lilly's pipeline development continues to rely on small partners 77
Byetta LAR - a low-risk option expected to drive future growth 78
Teplizumab 80
Three drugs are in development with Transition Therapeutics in addition to a small number of in-house candidates 80
Inhalable insulin development discontinued following Exubera flop 81
GlaxoSmithKline and Avandia - diabetes franchise at risk? 81
A rich and varied pipeline developed both alone and with partners 84
Biogen IDEC's multiple sclerosis franchise 86
Biogen IDEC's marketed and pipeline agents within its multiple sclerosis franchise span a range of mechanisms of action and modes of delivery 89
Licenses and collaborations are used to expand the franchise 90
Avonex 91
Indication expansion and new clinical data grew Avonex's market share 91
Tysabri 92
Rituximab 94
Other pipeline agents 95
AstraZeneca - company turns to serial acquisitions and internal R&D reshuffle following Phase III failures and market withdrawals 96
Iressa 97
AstraZeneca's cardiovascular portfolio had setbacks with Exanta's withdrawal and AZD-7009's discontinuation 98
Galida 99
Externally developed candidates also bomb 100
Acquisitions 101
Acquisition decisions reflect a long-term strategy of entering the biologics arena 101
CHAPTER 5 BIBLIOGRAPHY 103
Publications and online articles 103
Conference literature 106
Datamonitor reports 106
APPENDIX 108
Glossary 108
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