Vietnam Commercial Banking Report Q3 2010

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 59 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2014 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.
Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.
Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.
The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Report Highlights

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Executive Summary 5
Table: Levels (VNDbn) 5
Table: Levels (US$bn) 5
Table: Levels At August 2009 5
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2010-2014 (%) 6
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2010 6
Table: Projected Levels (VNDbn) 6
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn) 6
SWOT Analysis 7
Vietnam Commercial Banking SWOT 7
Vietnam Political SWOT 8
Vietnam Economic SWOT 9
Vietnam Business Environment SWOT 10
Business Environment Outlook 11
Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 11
Table: Vietnam Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating 11
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology 12
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings 13
Global Commercial Banking Outlook 14
Asia Banking Sector Outlook 17
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP Ratios 20
Table: Anticipated Developments In 2010 21
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn) 22
Table: Comparison Of US$ Per Capita Deposits (Late 2009) 23
Table: Interbank Rates & Bond Yields 24
Vietnam Banking Sector Outlook 25
Economic Outlook 28
Table: Vietnam Economic Activity, 2007-2014 29
Competitive Landscape 30
Market Structure 30
Protagonists 30
Table: Protagonists In Vietnam’s Commercial Banking Sector 30
Definition of the Commercial Banking Universe 30
List of Banks 31
Table: Financial Institutions In Vietnam (February 2010) 31
Company Profiles 34
Vietcombank 34
Table: Key Statistics For Vietcombank, 2004-2008 (VNDmn) 35
BIDV 36
Table: Key Statistics For BIDV, 2004-2006 (VNDmn) 37
VietinBank 38
Table: Key Statistics For VietinBank, 2005-2008 (VNDmn) 39
Agribank 40
Table: Balance Sheet (VNDmn, unless stated) 41
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) 41
MHB Bank 42
Table: Key Statistics For MHB Bank, 2006-2008 (VNDmn) 43
Habubank 44
Table: Key Statistics For Habubank, 2004-2007 (VNDmn) 45
Eximbank 46
Table: Balance Sheet (VNDmn, unless stated) 47
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) 47
Sacombank 48
Table: Stock Market Indicators 49
Table: Balance Sheet (VNDmn, unless stated) 49
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 50
Table: Key Ratios (%) 50
Saigonbank 51
Table: Stock Market Indicators 52
Table: Balance Sheet (VNDmn, unless stated) 52
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 52
Table: Key Ratios (%) 53
SeABank 54
Table: Balance Sheet (VNDmn, unless stated) 55
Table: Balance Sheet (US$mn, unless stated) 55
Table: Key Ratios (%) 55
BMI Banking Sector Methodology 56
Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating 57
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale 58
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59

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